AccuScore: Dolphins upset over Cardinals?

On paper, the Miami Dolphins (1-2) appear to be a long shot to travel to Arizona Sunday and beat the undefeated Cardinals (3-0). But AccuScore predicts this game will be much closer than most expect.

According to simulations, if Dolphins rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill throws one touchdown and completes at least 55 percent of his passes, Miami has a 65-percent chance to win.

Sounds easy, right?

But overall, AccuScore gives Miami a 42 percent chance of beating the Cardinals. I think those are decent odds, with much of it resting on Tannehill’s ability to perform against a good defense on the road.