Clayton believes 12 wins will secure the No. 1 spot for Baltimore. "With no conviction, I'm going to go with the Ravens only because they have a tiebreaker edge over the Steelers," Clayton wrote. "I'd go with the Patriots, but they would lose the tiebreaker to the Steelers because of their Week 8 loss to them at Heinz Field."
Heading into Week 11, five AFC teams are tied with the fewest losses at three: Pittsburgh (7-3), Houston (7-3), Baltimore (6-3), Cincinnati (6-3) and New England (6-3).