Game day prediction: Bengals-Jaguars

By correctly picking the Ravens over the Browns, I improved my season record to a pedestrian 5-3. There's only one division game for Sunday, so it's all or nothing for me. Here's my forecast for Sunday's game:

Cincinnati Bengals 27, Jacksonville Jaguars 17: This is the Bengals' third road game in four weeks, which could take its toll on Cincinnati. Luckily for the Bengals, they're playing a Jaguars team that they should handle easily. Cincinnati has been fast starters recently. The past two weeks, the Bengals have scored 41 points in the first half. Cincinnati needs to take an early lead and force the Jaguars to get away from the run. The only way Jacksonville upsets the Bengals is if Maurice Jones-Drew has a huge day.