Two weeks ago, I picked the Browns to beat the Colts and they literally dropped the ball. Last week, I thought about picking the Browns (you can read it here) but picked against them and lost again. Will I finally solve this Cleveland conundrum? Let's find out.
Ravens 27, Browns 16: The Ravens lost two defensive stars and lost by 30 points to Houston before their bye. The Browns have won their past two home games. This should be an upset special, right? There are three stats that say otherwise: The Ravens average 28.2 points after byes under John Harbaugh, Joe Flacco bounces back strong after losses (22 touchdowns and four interceptions in 14 games following a defeat) and Ray Rice thrives in Cleveland (he's averaged 134.7 yards rushing in four trips there).
Broncos 21, Bengals 13: The Broncos look like a Super Bowl contender while the Bengals look like a team on the verge of crumbling. Coming off the bye, the Bengals defense will surprise by keeping Peyton Manning relatively in check. Where the Bengals are in disarray is on offense. There's no consistent running game with BenJarvus Green-Ellis and no other threat at receiver to take the attention away from A.J. Green. This is why quarterback Andy Dalton is pressing and throwing interceptions. Did I mention that Manning is 7-0 against the Bengals? That's his best record against any opponent.
Giants 24, Steelers 23: This prediction is based on the teams' track records in the fourth quarter. In all three of the Steelers' losses on the road this season, they have lost the lead in the fourth quarter. This is the time when Giants quarterback Eli Manning has been at his best lately. Manning has 10 fourth-quarter comebacks in his past 24 games. It's tough to pick the Steelers to win at the defending Super Bowl champions when they've lost at Oakland and Tennessee this season.
Week 8 record: 1-1. Season record: 13-8.
Browns 7, Chargers 6 (my prediction: Chargers 23, Browns 20)
Steelers 27, Redskins 12 (my prediction: Steelers 30, Redskins 20)