You don’t need me to tell you the magnitude of Monday night’s game between the Texans and Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium.
A Colts win puts them at 5-2. They will be either a half game up or down on the Titans, who will be 6-2 or 5-3 after a Sunday afternoon game in San Diego. The Colts will be a game ahead of 4-3 Houston. Indianapolis would have washed away the Texans’ head-to-head tie-breaking advantage by evening the season series.
A Texans win puts them at 5-2. They will either a half game up or down on the Titans, who will be 6-2 or 5-3. They will be a game and a half up on the 4-3 Colts. They’d hold a tie-breaker over Indianapolis from the sweep of the season series.
Seven or eight games into the season is early to talk playoff scenarios.
Except for this: I don’t believe two teams from the AFC South are getting into the playoffs.
Barring catastrophes, I think New England and the New York Jets are locks out of the AFC East and that Pittsburgh and Baltimore are locks out of the AFC North.
That leaves only one spot for the AFC South. Win the division, or you may be staying home, even with a great record. Lose Monday night, and your chances at the division crown take a significant fall.