Todd McShay's got a new scenario-based mock draft out.
I think he's mostly on target for two AFC South teams. I think he's a bit off target on a third, and misses the mark by a great degree on the fourth.
Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford
Scenario 1: (Andrew) Luck is a once-in-a-generation prospect, and adding him is the best option for a team that is starting over in the post-Peyton Manning era.
Scenario 2: The Colts could pull one of the all-time draft surprises and take Baylor QB Robert Griffin III instead, but that doesn't seem likely after Griffin declined to work out for the team.
Kuharsky’s thoughts: Don’t understand why Jim Irsay is being coy? Why not? What’s to be gained by saying it’s Luck? The contract part is simple with the new CBA.
Melvin Ingram, DE/OLB, South Carolina
Scenario 1: If (Justin) Blackmon should fall this far the Jaguars have to pull the trigger. They've gone far too long without a true No. 1 target in the passing game, and it's hard to fully evaluate second-year QB Blaine Gabbert without proper weapons around him.
Scenario 2: Jacksonville would certainly like to take advantage of a team looking to get ahead of the Miami Dolphins to draft (Ryan) Tannehill. Moving back and adding picks would help a team that has plenty of needs.
Scenario 3: If stuck here, the Jags go with the best available defensive end. General manager Gene Smith likes safer, more proven prospects, so Ingram fits better than North Carolina's Quinton Coples. Ingram is versatile, explosive and shows a knack for making big plays, while Coples has impressive tools but faces questions about his motor and work ethic.
Scenario 4: If he falls in ahead of Ingram on their board, the Jaguars could take (Riley) Reiff and shore up their offensive line.
Kuharsky’s thoughts: I am in line with scenarios one, two and three and if I am a Jaguars backer I’d be happy with any of the three. Shoring up the offensive line? I don’t love the depth, but if Eben Britton is healthy, they should have enough.
20) Tennessee Titans
Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama
Scenario 1: Cornerback is the team's top need and the Titans would take (Stephen) Gilmore if he were available.
Scenario 2: Kirkpatrick is a good fit in Tennessee's zone-heavy scheme with his size, toughness and instincts.
Scenario 3: Alabama ILB Dont'a Hightower is a possibility. The Titans have a need at the position, and while they like 2011 draft pick Colin McCarthy there is no other inside linebacker worth taking here.
Scenario 4: Take the highest-rated available tackle offensive tackle on their board, whether that's (Jonathan) Martin or (Mike) Adams.
Kuharsky’s thoughts: I completely disagree that corner is the team’s top need. Losing Cortland Finnegan doesn’t automatically create a need as they have people to step up. They’d take one if they think he’s the best player because other areas have dried up. They Titans don’t like Colin McCarthy, they love him, just like they love their tackles, Michael Roos and David Stewart. I see a defensive lineman or maybe a value if Mark Barron or David DeCastro somehow lasts.
26) Houston Texans
Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech
Scenario 1: The Texans would like nothing more than to see (Kendall) Wright fall to them and add a dynamic playmaker opposite Andre Johnson.
Scenario 2: Hightower would also be an attractive option if he were available as a replacement for the departed DeMeco Ryans.
Scenario 3: Hill offers a big, fast option who is raw but could form a dangerous tandem with Johnson.
Scenario 4: Take the best available offensive tackle, in this case Adams, to fill the void left by the release of Eric Winston.
Kuharsky’s thoughts: I don’t know how they stack Wright, Hill and Reuben Randle but another weapon is certainly a need. The inside spot vacated by Ryans is a part time spot that doesn’t require a first-round pick. I’d take a receiver first, but if there is a run, tight end Coby Fleener would be attractive. Offensive tackle wouldn’t be objectionable.