Can Colts surpass 2012's win total of 11?

INDIANAPOLIS -- Six games remaining and a three-game lead in the AFC South.

That’s where things stand for the Indianapolis Colts. They should win the division for the first time since 2010 unless they completely collapse down the stretch. And even then, they still may win it when you think about the rest of the teams in the division.

I predicted that the Colts would go 10-6 when the season started. They’re currently 7-3 with half of their remaining games on the road.

There’s a chance the Colts could match their win total from a year ago -- 11 -- because only three of their remaining games are against teams with a winning record. The three games are all on the road. The Colts still have issues with slow starts; they've been outscored 66-9 in the first half of their past three games. They’ll be fine if they can get that fixed. If not, there could be a lot of suspense in the remaining games.

Nov. 24: at Arizona

Cardinals quarterback Carson Palmer threw for 419 yards in their victory over Jacksonville on Sunday. The Colts are 18th in the league in pass defense at 239 yards a game. That’s not a good thing when the Cardinals have Larry Fitzgerald at receiver. Fellow receiver Michael Floyd had six catches for 193 yards against the Jaguars. Colts cornerback Greg Toler should be back in the lineup to face his former team after missing the past three games with a groin injury.

Dec. 1: Tennessee

The Titans -- more specifically tight end Delanie Walker -- seem to be more worried about getting even with Colts linebacker Erik Walden than getting the victory. Walker told the Tennessee media after last week’s game that he’ll see Walden in “two weeks and I’m going to whoop his butt again” after the Colts linebacker head-butted him in the game last week.

Dec. 8: at Cincinnati

This has been a toss-up game with me all season. It’s still a toss-up. The Bengals have victories over Green Bay (with Aaron Rodgers playing), New England and they beat the New York Jets by 40 points. It’s been well documented this season that the Colts have a tendency to step up to the challenge against teams with a winning record.

Dec. 15: Houston

From Super Bowl contender to benching quarterback Matt Schaub to now counting down the days until the season ends. The Texans are on an eight-game losing streak. The good news -- for Texans fans at least -- is that they play Jacksonville twice over the next three weeks.

Dec. 22: at Kansas City

The Colts have to hope that quarterback Andrew Luck has found a rhythm with his receivers and they’re still running the ball well heading into this game because the Chiefs have a top-10 defense.

Dec. 29: Jacksonville

The only suspense for the Jaguars will be whether or not they need to lose the game to lock up the No. 1 overall pick in next year’s draft.

Do you think the Colts will match, surpass or finish below last season’s win total?