Our final pre-draft checkin with McShay

Todd McShay’s final mock draft has a big surprise early that could change the picture for the AFC South. He’s got Missouri defensive end/ linebacker Aldon Smith, who we’ve identified as a candidate for Houston and Jacksonville, going fifth to Arizona.

McShay goes seven rounds. I’ll only share three.

No. 8 -- Tennessee Titans

Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn

“Fairley is the best interior pass-rusher in the 2011 class, has tremendous overall upside and fills a major need.”

No. 39 -- Ryan Mallett, QB, Arkansas

No. 77 -- Marcus Gilchrist, CB, Clemson

PK says: Virtually every time they’ve talked about quarterbacks, they’ve talked about the ability to rollout and move. Good offensive line or no, I don’t see them going with the least mobile of the top eight quarterbacks.

No. 11 -- Houston Texans

Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU

“There has been talk about the Texans possibly trading up to get Peterson and significantly upgrade their secondary, but in this dream scenario they stay put and get one of the four elite players in this class.”

No. 42 -- Stephen Paea, DT, Oregon

No. 73 -- John Moffitt, G, Wisconsin

PK says: A first-round dream scenario becomes possible thanks to the ascension of Smith and J.J. Watt. I hope they think they need an interior defensive linemen like Paea.

No. 16 -- Jacksonville Jaguars

Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue

"Kerrigan is the kind of safe pick GM Gene Smith likes, a player who works hard and can contribute right away with solid skills and a high motor."

No. 49 -- Torrey Smith, WR, Maryland

No. 80 -- Edmond Gates, WR, Abilene Christian

PK says: Gene Smith has attacked key positions in bunches, so he could nab a couple receivers. But no quarterback until the second of the team’s two fourth-round picks?

No. 22 -- Indianapolis Colts

Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin

"Carimi would provide more protection for QB Peyton Manning but, more importantly, would be a significant upgrade for a running game that struggled mightily in 2010."

No. 53 -- Clint Boling, G, Georgia

No. 87 -- Terrell McClain, DT, USF

PK says: It’s hard to imagine no skill position guys with the value picks, but it could be healthy for the roster.