Every week, we take a look at the game most likely to go the way experts don't expect.
Here's my pick this week: Oklahoma State at Oklahoma
The Cowboys opened as a near double-digit underdog. Now, that line's shrunk to a touchdown or less in many places. That's no surprise. Oklahoma State has been kicking all kinds of butt in Big 12 play after an uneven 3-2 start and a narrow victory over cellar-dwelling Kansas.
OSU is 4-1 in the Big 12 since, with its only loss coming on the road to No. 6 Kansas State. All four victories, though, have come by at least 21 points, for an average of 25.5. The most recent was a 38-point shellacking of Texas Tech.
It's worth noting that all four of those whippings came at home and the lone loss came on the road, but this is an Oklahoma State that's found its stride and knows what it wants to do at quarterback, mixing in third-stringer-turned-starter Clint Chelf and dual threat J.W. Walsh and getting Joseph Randle plenty of touches. Randle's production has slowed in recent weeks, but Oklahoma gave up 344 rushing yards to West Virginia's Tavon Austin last week. Randle's not Austin, but he's still one of the Big 12's most talented backs and more than capable of racking up major yardage.
Chelf will face a tough test against the Sooners' secondary that feels like it has plenty to prove struggling in last week's 50-49 win over West Virginia, and it's been a decade since Oklahoma State has won in Norman.
Still, this year's team is different and the results very well may be, too.