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The Big 12's tiebreaker and a prediction for the final four weeks

Posted by ESPN.com's Tim Griffin

Many fans have bombarded me with e-mails throughout the last 24 hours about how a three-way or four-way tie would play out in the South Division. Here's a look at the tiebreaker in settling divisional ties.

Here, directly from the Big 12's media guide, is the list of tiebreakers. It might be something you want to periodically check during the next several weeks.

Big 12 divisional tiebreakers

The following procedure will determine the representative from each division in the event of a tie:

(a) If two teams are tied, the winner of the game between the two tied teams shall be the representative
(b) If three or more teams are tied, steps 1 through 7 will be followed until a determination is made. If only two teams remain tied after any step, the winner of the game between the two tied teams shall be the representative.

1. The records of the three teams will be compared against each other;
2. The records of the three teams will be compared within their division;
3. The records of the three teams will be compared against the next highest placed teams in their division in order of finish (4, 5 and 6);
4. The records of the three teams will be compared against all common conference opponents;
5. The highest-ranked team in the first Bowl Championship Series standings following the completion of Big 12 regular-season conference play shall be the representative;
6. The team with the best overall winning percentage [excluding exempted games] shall be the representative;
7. The representative will be chosen by draw.

If Texas, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and Texas Tech only losses were against each other, it would drop the tiebreaker to the fifth one, the team with the highest rankings in the final Bowl Championship Series standings after regular season concludes on Nov. 29.

Here's my guess of where teams are now and my predicted wins and losses for the rest of the season.

Texas Tech (5-0)

  • Games left: Oklahoma State (favored), at Oklahoma (underdog), Baylor (favored)

  • Predicted final conference record: 7-1

Texas (4-1)

  • Games left: Baylor (favored), at Kansas (favored), Texas A&M (favored).

  • Predicted final record: 7-1

Oklahoma (4-1)

  • Games left: at Texas A&M (favored), Texas Tech (favored), at Oklahoma State (underdog).

  • Predicted final record: 6-2

Oklahoma State (4-1)

  • Games left: at Texas Tech (underdog), at Colorado (favored), Oklahoma (favored)

  • Predicted final record: 6-2

So if it plays out to my predicted scenario, that would leave Texas and Texas Tech tied with 7-1 conference records. If that was the case, the Red Raiders would advance because of their head-to-head victory over the Longhorns Saturday night.

That could be a bad scenario for the potential loser of the Big 12 title game. Would it be out of the realm of possibility that a one-loss team from the South Division would jump past the loser of the Big 12 title game.

You wouldn't think so, but it's happened before. Just as Gary Pinkel about his Cotton Bowl trip last season after losing in the Big 12 title game while Kansas advanced to the Orange Bowl above them despite not playing in the championship game.

So it should be an interesting four weeks. Buckle up for a wild ride.