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Expect points galore from another Baylor-Texas Tech shootout

Shock Linwood's 187 yards in this 2013 game against Texas Tech still rank as his career high, and he posted 158 on the Red Raiders last season. Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

How many points are Baylor and Texas Tech capable of scoring when they meet again on Saturday? They've already broken a Vegas record with an over/under of 90.5. They'll try to shatter a few more when they resume their rivalry at AT&T Stadium.

Jake Trotter and Max Olson break down the shootout:

How Texas Tech can pull off the upset: Turnovers and a whole bunch of points. The Red Raiders have been much better at forcing turnovers this season under first-year coordinator David Gibbs. But they couldn’t come up with a turnover against TCU, which is in part why the Horned Frogs scored 55 points and ultimately won the game. Tech can’t expect to beat Baylor, and not turn the Bears over. And even then, the Tech offense will probably have to score 50, too. — Trotter

How Baylor can control the game: Baylor has held third-quarter leads of 45-20 and 56-34 in their last two meetings, so the blueprint for controlling this game isn't much of a mystery to Art Briles. They've done so by forcing a combined seven turnovers and leaning on Shock Linwood to pound and wear down Tech's defense. Do those things again and keep Seth Russell on schedule and in a rhythm and the Bears should be just fine. -- Olson

Texas Tech's X-factor: Even if QB Patrick Mahomes is able to play he’s going to be hobbled with that bum ankle. For that reason, the Red Raiders could lean on DeAndre Washington even more out of the backfield. Washington is coming off a monster performance, with 188 rushing yards and four touchdowns against TCU. With Mahomes limited, Tech will need him to come up big again. — Trotter

Baylor's X-factor: The pressure is on for Baylor safeties Orion Stewart and Chance Waz. Mahomes bombed them with four 40-plus yard completions last year, including two for TDs in the fourth quarter, because he had no fear they'd make a play. Waz, a sophomore, has done a nice job in taking over for Terrell Burt. How he and Stewart respond to the Red Raiders' big shots will help determine if this game becomes another out-of-control scoring fest. -- Olson

What a win would mean for the Red Raiders: Kliff Kingsbury has been searching for that springboard conference victory since becoming coach. Coming off two emotional games, this is a tough spot for his squad, who might be a little banged up, as well. Yet a win over Baylor would silence any doubters, showing Kingsbury has Tech back on the right track, while giving the Red Raiders a ton of momentum for the second half of the season. — Trotter

What a win would mean for the Bears: Baylor gets only two serious tests before its Nov. 14 meeting with Oklahoma, and here's one of them. These Red Raiders were one play away last week from being a bonafide top-25 team, so a dominant day against them would certainly make a statement. This is our chance to find out just how good the Bears really are, and a big win would boost their already-high confidence. -- Olson