Original take is here.
Best case in a nutshell: 11-1 and Sugar Bowl.
Worst case in a nutshell: 5-7
Reality: 7-5 and International Bowl
That's just crazy talk: "October arrives, but this time it's full of cheer, as South Florida beats Syracuse, Cincinnati, Pitt and West Virginia to equal its most Big East victories ever. At 8-0, the Bulls move into the Top 10 for the third straight year."
Not too far off: "[George] Selvie, whose numbers haven't been the same since the first five games of his sophomore year, gets contained by double teams again. ... October arrives and it's like Groundhog Day from the past two years. They beat Syracuse but lose to Cincinnati [and] Pittsburgh ... and November starts the same way with a loss at Rutgers. ... South Florida closes the year by losing in the snow at Connecticut."
What really happened: Is there such thing as a same-case scenario? The Bulls started 5-0 and got everybody's hopes up by winning at Florida State, even with star quarterback Matt Grothe lost to a season-ending injury. But South Florida couldn't hold its own in league play, as redshirt freshman quarterback B.J. Daniels was electric but erratic and the defense suffered key breakdowns. Cincinnati, Pitt, Rutgers and Miami all delivered blowout defeats.
In the end, it was the same old Bulls, and they got shipped off to Toronto after barely qualifying for the postseason.