Bracketology: South Playoff Picture, Week 5

ESPNBoston.com presents the latest in our weekly Bracketology series, where we map out what the MIAA playoff picture would look like if playoffs started tomorrow. A reminder before reading: the Bracketology segment DOES NOT include teams who are currently in the playoff chase, as the top EIGHT teams in North/South will qualify for the playoffs.

For a reminder about point-system calculations, here is how the totals are added up for teams in North/South:

  • 12 Points for a win over a team in a higher division

  • 10 Points for a win over a team in the same division, or a win over a team from outside the North or South (including out-of-state opponents*)

  • 8 Points for a win over a team in a lower division

  • 3 Points for every win an opponent that you have beaten has

  • 1 Point for every win an opponent that you lost to has

After adding up your team’s point total, divide the total number by the number of games your team has played.

All comments and corrections can be sent to Chris Bradley at Christian.Bradley@gordon.edu, or on Twitter: @_ChrisBradley

For a refresher on how the playoff system will work, check out our three-part "Taking the Field" series from the preseason HERE.

Division 1 South

1. Xaverian (3-1), 13.5 points

2. Bridgewater-Raynham (3-1), 13 points

3. Attleboro (3-1), 12.75

T-4. BC High (2-2), 8.5 points

T-4. Brockton (2-2), 8.5 points

6. Newton North (2-2), 8 points

7. Franklin (2-2), 7 points

8. Catholic Memorial (1-3), 6.75 points

Analysis: Xaverian holds the top spot in Division 1 South after their blowout victory over league foe Catholic Memorial last weekend. Watch out for Bridgewater-Raynham though, the Trojans continue to pick up points and keep getting closer and closer to the top seed—this Friday they’ll take on Dartmouth. Attleboro, who narrowly lost a 49-42 thriller to Mansfield last Friday, will take on North Attleboro tomorrow night.

Division 2 South

1. Mansfield (4-0), 17.75 points

2. King Philip (4-0), 15.25 points

3. Natick (4-0), 15 points

4. Barnstable (3-1), 14 points

5. Needham (3-1), 12.5 points

6. Duxbury (3-1), 12 points

7. Marshfield (3-1), 11.25 points

8. Braintree (3-1), 8.75 points

Analysis: It wasn’t as easy as they would have liked, but Mansfield survived Attleboro and holds on to the top spot in Division 2 South. King Philip and Natick will look to make up some ground on the Hornets this weekend, taking on Franklin and Dedham, respectively. Keep an eye on Needham too, the Rockets have recovered nicely with three straight wins following their opening week loss to Westwood.

Division 3 Southeast

1. Plymouth South (3-1), 13 points

2. Dartmouth (3-1), 11.5 points

3. Nauset (3-1), 10.75 points

4. Dighton-Rehoboth (4-1), 10.4 points

5. Silver Lake (2-2), 9.75 points

6. Plymouth North (2-2), 7.5 points

7. Falmouth (1-3), 6 points

8. Sandwich (1-3), 5.25 points

Analysis: Slight setback for Plymouth South last weekend, suffering a 31-12 loss to Dennis-Yarmouth last Friday night. They’ll need to make sure they learned from the loss quickly, third-seeded Nauset will be thinking upset when Plymouth South comes to town on Friday. Dighton-Rehoboth should see quite a challenge this weekend as well from Old Rochester, the second-seeded team in Division 5 South.

Division 3 Southwest

1. Oliver Ames (4-0), 14.75 points

2. Stoughton (3-1), 10.75 points

3. North Attleboro (2-2), 10.5 points

4. Walpole (3-1), 10 points

5. Hingham (2-2), 9.5 points

6. Hopkinton (2-2), 9 points

7. Medfield (3-1), 8.75 points

8. Bishop Feehan (2-2), 6.75 points

Analysis: With a 35-7 victory over Stoughton last weekend, there is very little doubt over who the top dog is in Division 3 Southwest. Oliver Ames has gone relatively unchallenged in three of four games this year, and this weekend could potentially be more of the same—facing a Sharon team who lost 37-0 to Foxboro last Friday. Look for Walpole to potentially make a jump in the standings in the next couple of weeks, the Rebels’ offense has been running on all cylinders since losing to Needham three weeks ago.

Division 4 South

1. Westwood (3-1), 17 points

2. Norton (3-1), 13.75 points

3. Medway (3-1), 13.5 points

4. Dennis-Yarmouth (2-2), 11.75 points

5. Apponequet (3-1), 11.5 points

6. Holliston (4-1), 11.2 points

7. Hanover (3-2), 11 points

8. Scituate (3-1), 10.5 points

Analysis: Westwood’s victory over Holliston last Friday was one of the most thrilling games of the MIAA football season, and with the win they moved to 3-1 and hold on to the top spot in D4 South. Holliston fell to sixth after the loss, but will have a grand opportunity to make up some points against Medway on Friday night.

Division 5 South

1. Rockland (3-1), 14.75 points

2. Old Rochester (4-0), 14.5 points

3. East Bridgewater (3-1), 13.25 points

4. Cardinal Spellman (3-1), 11.25 points

5. Abington (3-1), 11 points

6. Dover Sherborn (3-1), 10.5 points

7. Seekonk (3-1), 10 points

8. Greater New Bedford (2-3), 8.6 points

Analysis: Rockland holds the top spot in Division 5 South after beating Norwell last Friday, but Old Rochester and East Bridgewater are close behind. Old Rochester could make a major statement and make up some points in the standings on Friday if they can pull the upset on Dighton-Rehoboth. Keep in mind that East Bridgewater’s only loss came 35-34 at the hands of Rockland.

Division 6 South

1. Diman (4-0), 16.75 points

2. Blue Hills (3-1), 14.5 points

3. Millis-Hopedale (3-1), 14.25 points

4. Cohasset (3-1), 13.75 points

5. Pope John (4-1), 13 points

6. Bristol-Plymouth (3-1), 10.5 points

7. Bishop Connolly (3-1), 10.25 points

8. Mashpee (3-1), 10 points

Analysis: Diman/Blue Hills was everything that the heated matchup was expected to be, with Diman coming out with a 15-14 victory. With that win, they have sole possession of the top seed in Division 6, though Blue Hills will certainly have the chance to make up for that loss over the next couple weeks. Watch out for Millis-Hopedale, we’ll likely see just how legitimate they are on Friday against Division 5 Dover-Sherborn.