ESPNBoston.com presents the latest in our weekly Bracketology series, where we map out what the MIAA playoff picture would look like if playoffs started tomorrow. A reminder before reading: the Bracketology segment DOES NOT include teams who are currently in the playoff chase, as the top EIGHT teams in North/South will qualify for the playoffs.
For a reminder about point-system calculations, here is how the totals are added up for teams in North/South:
12 Points for a win over a team in a higher division
10 Points for a win over a team in the same division, or a win over a team from outside the North or South (including out-of-state opponents*)
8 Points for a win over a team in a lower division
3 Points for every win an opponent that you have beaten has
1 Point for every win an opponent that you lost to has
After adding up your team’s point total, divide the total number by the number of games your team has played.
NOTE: Teams who have already locked up an automatic qualifier seed are starred (*) below.
For a view of the MIAA league tiebreakers for Eastern Mass., CLICK HERE.
All comments, clarifications, and corrections can be sent to Chris Bradley at Christian.Bradley@gordon.edu, or on Twitter: @_ChrisBradley
For a refresher on how the playoff system will work, check out our three-part "Taking the Field" series from the preseason HERE.
Division 1 North
1. Everett (5-1), 15.67 points*
2. Central Catholic (5-1), 14.33 points*
3. Acton-Boxboro (5-1), 14 points*
4. St. John’s Prep (4-3), 11.57 points
5. Methuen (4-3), 10.43 points
6. Andover (3-3), 9.83 points
7. Lowell (4-2), 9.5 points
8. Malden (4-2), 8.83 points*
Analysis: Everett holds the top spot in Division 1 North, with a showdown against league rival Malden on the horizon this weekend, the eighth seed currently in the region, is in position to be in the pool of automatic qualifiers, as they’re currently second in the GBL. Central Catholic would be in the automatic qualifier pool regardless of whether or not they beat Chelmsford this weekend because they have the league tiebreaker over Lowell.
Division 2 North
1. Waltham (4-1), 13.2 points*
2. Haverhill (4-2), 12.5 points
3. Lincoln-Sudbury (3-3), 10.83 points
4. Reading (4-1), 10.2 points
5. Lynn Classical (3-3), 10.17 points
6. North Andover (3-3), 9.83 points
7. Lynn English (2-3), 8.2 points
8. Cambridge (3-4), 8.14 points
Analysis: This weekend will be an important one in the MVC, as Haverhill and North Andover meet on Friday to decide the second seed in the MVC Small. Reading will take on league foe Woburn on Friday, who will be extra motivated after getting crushed by Arlington last week. Don’t forget that Cambridge has already completed their regular season schedule, however with winless Wachusett visiting Newton South (who is the first team left out of this projection) this weekend, Cambridge would still have a leg up even if Newton South wins.
Division 3 Northeast
1. Tewksbury (6-0), 21 points*
2. Marblehead (5-1), 16.33 points
3. Danvers (5-1), 14.83 points*
T-4. Gloucester (5-2), 13 points
T-4. Beverly (3-3), 13 points
6. Masconomet (4-2), 12.83 points
7. Wilmington (2-4), 6.83 points
8. Salem (1-5), 5.67 points
Analysis: Even despite outstanding seasons so far from Marblehead and Danvers, it is likely Tewksbury would still have the top seed in this region—though a loss to winless Dracut this weekend would certainly make things interesting. Keep in mind that Gloucester is done with their regular season, so where they’ll end up being seeded will likely be determined by Beverly/Swampscott and Danvers/Winthrop this weekend. Masco, who beat Gloucester 27-0 in week 3, could very well make a jump with a win over Triton.
Division 3 Northwest
1. Concord-Carlisle (6-0), 17.83 points
2. Arlington (6-0), 16.83 points*
3. Melrose (5-1), 15.67 points
4. Wakefield (4-2), 14 points
5. Woburn (5-1), 13 points
6. Burlington (3-3), 10.17 points
7. Wayland (3-3), 9 points
8. Medford (2-4), 7.17 points
Analysis: Once again, Concord-Carlisle holds the top seed in the region—though Arlington, the Middlesex Liberty champion, made up some ground after a big win over Woburn. The Spy Ponders will take on Lexington this weekend, while Melrose will look to lock up the Middlesex Freedom title if they can beat Stoneham on Friday. Concord-Carlisle will take on Wayland this weekend, with major implications on the line—the winner will be crowned the DCL Small champion.
Division 4 North
1. Pentucket (5-0), 19.5 points*
2. Lynnfield (6-0), 15.33 points*
3. Bedford (4-1), 14.4 points
4. Watertown (4-2), 14 points
5. Triton (4-2), 11.5 points
6. Stoneham (3-3), 11 points
7. Newburyport (3-3), 11 points
8. Amesbury (3-3), 8.67 points
Analysis: Pentucket and Lynnfield have both clinched automatic qualifier status in Division 4 North, but there could be some major movement behind them this weekend, with Triton taking on Masco, Bedford playing Boston Latin, and Watertown hosting Wilmington. Amesbury’s showdown with Manchester-Essex will be a must-win, with a loss likely leaving them out of the playoff picture.
Division 5 North
1. Bishop Fenwick (6-0), 20.33 points*
2. Northeast Tech (6-0), 16.83 points*
3. Austin Prep (5-1), 15.67 points
4. Brighton (6-0), 13.17 points*
5. Whittier (4-2), 11 points
6. Lowell Catholic (3-3), 10 points
7. St. Mary’s (3-3), 9.5 points
8. Manchester-Essex (3-3), 9.17 points
Analysis: The only thing more impressive than Bishop Fenwick’s high-powered offense? Their stingy defense—who is giving up only 14 points per game this year. Brighton’s dominance in the Boston City League has guaranteed them an automatic seed as well, and the same goes for Northeast Tech—their match with Greater Lawrence this weekend will be nothing more than a momentum builder going into the playoffs.
Division 6 North
1. Latin Academy (6-0), 16.83 points*
2. St. Clement (4-1), 15.8 points
3. Cathedral (5-1), 15.67 points*
4. O’Bryant (6-0), 14.5 points*
T-5. Dorchester (4-2), 13.33 points
T-5. North Shore Tech (4-2), 13.33 points*
7. Chelsea (4-2), 11.83 points
8. Minuteman (4-2), 10 points
Analysis: Latin Academy, Cathedral, O’Bryant, and North Shore all have automatic qualifier status heading into the last week of play in Eastern Mass. Chelsea and Minuteman will be competing for seeding this weekend, with Chelsea headed to Lynn Tech and Minuteman traveling to Greater Lowell.