Super 8 tournament projection (Version 2.0)

Here’s our final Super 8 hockey tournament, 10-team projection ahead of Saturday’s tournament selection committee meeting.

Of course, we’d like to hear your input, and feel free to give us your 10-team field below in the Comments field or via Twitter (@espnbostonhs and @espnscottb).

Here’s a refresher of how we saw the field rounding out last week:

1. BC High

2. Malden Catholic

3. Austin Prep

4. Catholic Memorial

5. Springfield Cathedral

6. Xaverian

7. St. Mary’s (Lynn)

8. Arlington Catholic

9. Central Catholic

10. St. John’s Prep

Version 2.0:

1. BC High (14-2-4)

Last week’s projection: 1

Why they’re in this spot: The Eagles could have left no doubt about the top spot had they beaten Duxbury in the championship game of the Buddy Ferreira Classic on Thursday. But I like the Eagles’ completed resume the best, and the Catholic Conference championship should always count for something.

2. Springfield Cathedral (15-2-5)

Last week’s projection: 5

Why they’re in this spot: It’s been said that the Super 8 committee carries a “What have you done for me lately?” kind of mentality, and the Panthers’ 5-2 win over Malden Catholic in their host vacation week tournament should move them into the second spot.

3. Malden Catholic (16-4-0)

Last week’s projection: 2

Why they’re in this spot: The Lancers looked like they were going on another one of their runs going into the postseason, evidenced by 7-1 win over Super 8 hopeful St. Mary’s at the Cathedral tournament. But, even with the loss to Cathedral, there’s no reason to drop them any place past here.

4. Austin Prep (13-4-4)

Last week’s projection: 3

Why they’re in this spot: The Cougars had a chance to move up into the top two spots at the Ferreira Classic, with a duel with BC High, but after a somewhat flat performance, this feels about right. They still remain in the top four, regardless.

5. Xaverian (11-3-6)

Last week’s projection: 6

Why they’re in this spot: The Hawks earned some serious style points with a 9-2 thrashing of Super 8 hopeful St. John’s of Shrewsbury on Wednesday, eliminating any doubts of their placement in the top six and likely snuffing out the Pioneers’ dream in the process.

6. Central Catholic (15-3-3)

Last week’s projection: 9

Why they’re in this spot: The Raiders were among a handful of clubs making a serious move in the last week-plus of the season, rising out of the perils of a play-in game and into a top six seed. A 4-3 win over Catholic Memorial on Monday bumps the Raiders in.

(Play-in seeds, determined by winning percentage):

7. Duxbury (16-2-3)

Last week’s projection: N/A

Why they’re in this spot: By winning the program’s first-ever Ferreira Classic (formerly known as the Cape Cod Classic), with a dominating defensive performance against BC High, the Dragons proved they belong and can play the brand of hockey required to tplay in the tournament, despite a lack of other marquee victories.

8. Braintree (13-4-3)

Last week’s projection: N/A

Why they’re in this spot: Whoa. How about the Wamps finishing the regular season with a win over Catholic Memorial to put them over the hump, and leaving the slumping Knights out in the cold? It wasn’t Bay State Carey champion’s only marquee win, having already beaten two of these teams in this “play-in” group (Duxbury, St. Mary’s) – and by the margin that CM only had one win (Malden Catholic) against other teams considered here – I’m going with a Wamps-for-Knights swap. It only proves how flat the competition is beyond the top four seeds of the tournament.

9. St. Mary’s (14-6-2)

Last week’s projection: 7

Why they’re in this spot: The Spartans could have bolstered their chances for the tournament with closer date with MC at the Cathedral tournament, but we’re pulling in St. Mary’s making the tournament after a one-year absence on the grounds of its second-place finish in the Catholic Central Large.

10. Archbishop Williams (12-5-3)

Last week’s projection: N/A

Why they’re in this spot: With that being said, there was no CCL team hotter in the second than the Bishops, who claimed victories against both St. Mary’s and Arlington Catholic (x2) in the second half of the season. With a deep a talented group of forwards, the Bishops won the coin flip between them and AC – a team that had appeared a shoo-in during the first half of the season before cooling off and dropping a key rubber match against Archies at the Ferreira Classic this week. As I’ve written earlier in the year, the CCL would be the key to the Super 8 field, carrying three teams this year, with the Bishops making their second consecutive play-in game appearance.