According to ESPN’s Countdown Daily AccuScore simulations, the Patriots-Ravens game on Sunday is likely to come down to interceptions and quarterback sacks.
If the Ravens don’t manage to pick off Tom Brady on Sunday, they’ll have only a 34 percent chance of victory, according to AccuScore simulations. But if they get one interception, their chances of winning climbs to 57 percent.
And the Patriots’ pressure defense should play a key role Sunday as well. According to AccuScore simulations, the more New England pressures Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco, the higher their chances of victory. With three or more sacs and at least one interception, the Patriots have a 70 percent chance at victory, according to the simulations. But if the Patriots get no more than two sacs, Baltimore is the 55 percent favorite.