In the video above, Prim Siripipat goes inside the numbers to see how the Patriots-Dolphins game plays out in AccuScore game simulations.
Among the findings:
* The Patriots won 83 percent of more than 10,000 AccuScore simulations by an average score of 30-18.
* If Reggie Bush has at least 75 rushing yards and one rushing touchdown, the Dolphins' chances of winning jump from 17 percent to 40 percent, according to simulations. Bush has averaged about 135 rushing yards in his last three games.
* If Tom Brady has 300-plus yards passing and two-plus touchdown passes, the Patriots are 91 percent favorites. Brady has averaged 328 yards per game this season.
* Click here to simulate the game yourself, choosing your own scenarios, individual performances, weather and more.