In the video above, Prim Siripipat goes inside the numbers to see how Sunday's Patriots-Colts game (4:25 p.m., CBS) plays out in AccuScore game simulations.
Among the findings:
* The Patriots won 80 percent of more than 10,000 AccuScore simulations by an average score of 33-21.
* In simulations in which Andrew Luck has at least 2 touchdowns and Tom Brady throws more interceptions than Luck, the Colts are slight favorites at 51 percent.
* In sims where the Colts lose, Luck throws an average of 1.3 touchdown passes and 1.2 interceptions.