Looking back at running game forecast

Before the season began, we asked our three Patriots experts project the team’s running game. Specifically, we instructed them to peg exact numbers to each running back.

We gave them a baseline projection of 440 carries for 1,800 yards (4 yards per carry) and 18 touchdowns. In reality, the Patriots rushed a lot more (523 times) for more yards (2,184) and a heckuva lot more touchdowns (a league-leading 25) than our prediction. About the only thing we got right was the yards per carry (4.17).

Reader “311Bosox311” accurately forecasted Stevan Ridley's breakout season, predicting him to run for 1,300 yards and 13 touchdowns, numbers he came close to matching.

Check out how our experts fared in their predictions. The picks in bold were the closest to the actual numbers: