Revisiting trades & value charts

A question in Thursday’s Patriots chat on solid Patriots late-round draft picks sparked the idea for this blog entry. So thanks to chatter “Alan from New Hartford, CT.”

The idea is to revisit two 2012 draft-day trades made by the Patriots:

The first was a head-scratcher – trading a second-round draft choice (62nd overall) to the Packers for a third-rounder (90th overall) and fifth-rounder (163rd overall). As noted on draft day, the Patriots lost out on the deal when it comes to the traditional “value charts”, but part of the thinking might have been to stay “in the draft” as the second-rounder would have been their last pick.

The Patriots later traded the fifth-rounder back to the Packers for three picks – a sixth-rounder (197th overall) and two seventh-rounders (224th and 235th overall)

In the end, the two swaps between the Patriots and Packers broke down this way:

Packers: CB Casey Hayward (62nd), LB Terrell Manning (163rd)

Patriots: DE Jake Bequette (90th), S Nate Ebner (197th), CB Alfonzo Dennard (224th), WR Jeremy Ebert (235th)

ANALYSIS: Hayward is viewed by some as a defensive rookie of the year candidate, and looks like the best player in the deal. Dennard, however, has proven to be a steal in the seventh round and currently projects as a solid No. 2 cornerback at the least. … Manning and Bequette played sparingly as rookies and their development will ultimately play a role in determining which team got the better of this swap. … Ebner finished second on the Patriots in special teams tackles and looks like a keeper in a fourth-down role, while Ebert landed on the practice squad. … In the end, this is a good example of how the “value charts” don’t always tell the full story. The Patriots didn’t do as bad in the two deals as it seemed on draft day.