Indianapolis Colts president Bill Polian was in town Saturday for a sports analytics conference hosted by MIT's Sloan School of Management, and Brian MacPherson reports on the conference for ESPNBoston.com. "Fourth-and-2" was part of the discussion, with Polian saying he agreed with Bill Belichick's decision.
Here is a snippet from MacPherson's piece:
Polian emphasized the point with a detailed breakdown of the much-discussed fourth-and-2 that Bill Belichick attempted against Indianapolis last season. Polian broke down all the different aspects of that play -- the Colts' hot offense, the Patriots' banged-up defense, the tendency of the Patriots to run quarterback sneaks in short-yardage situations rather than throwing the type of pass that was called -- and backed up the decision.
Here's the funny thing: Polian agreed with the decision not because he believed the statistical data that supported it, he said, but because it made sense in that specific moment with those specific players on the field.
"Was it the right call? In my opinion, it was 100 percent the right decision," Polian said. "All of the statistical analysis that's done over the course of the season means nothing. The situation on the field at the time dictates the decision."