Taking a weekly look at Buffalo Bills running back LeSean McCoy's fantasy output last week and outlook for next week:
Week 4 statistics: 20 rushes, 76 yards; three receptions, 32 yards.
Week 4 fantasy output (ESPN standard scoring through Sunday's games): 10.8 points (74th overall, 24th among running backs)
Week 4 fantasy output (ESPN PPR scoring through Sunday's games): 13.8 points (74th overall, 23rd among running backs)
What happened last week at Atlanta: After two down weeks, McCoy put together his best performance since Week 1 -- but it was still short of his expectations entering this season. McCoy has 58.9 PPR points through four weeks, 15th among running backs, and 37.9 standard points, 21st among running backs. Teams are loading up the box against McCoy and making him the priority to stop in a Bills offense that does not offer many outside passing threats. After the Bills ran 14 snaps in Week 3 against eight-man boxes from Denver, the Falcons also played 14 snaps with an eight-man box against Buffalo on Sunday. The Bills are tied with the Jaguars in facing an NFL-high average of 11.75 plays per game against eight-man boxes. What helped McCoy gain 76 yards in Atlanta was an offensive line that allowed him an average of 2.85 yards before contact, after that same line managed an average of negative-0.17 yards before contact in Week 3 and 0.07 yards before contact in Week 4.
What to expect this week at Cincinnati: Four of the Bills' five offensive touchdowns this season have come on passes, and three of their four passing touchdowns have been thrown to wide receivers Andre Holmes or Jordan Matthews. That is slightly surprising because the production of the Bills' receivers outside of the red zone has been lacking and only figures to get worse after news Monday that Matthews will be out indefinitely because of thumb surgery. Perhaps the Bills' thin situation at receiver will cause the team to turn in the red zone to McCoy or Mike Tolbert, who owns the team's only rushing touchdown this season. McCoy has been held without a touchdown -- rushing or receiving -- this season, which has severely impacted his fantasy value. The Bengals have allowed five total touchdowns this season, tied with several other teams for ninth-most in the NFL.
Cincinnati's fantasy points per game allowed to running backs this season (standard scoring): 60 points (eighth-fewest in NFL)
Cincinnati's fantasy points per game allowed to running backs this season (PPR scoring): 87 points (12th-fewest in NFL)