Expecting the unexpected at Final Four

ARLINGTON, Texas -- The favorite? Florida. The trendy pick? Kentucky. And that's why this could be one of the most surprising Final Fours. Wisconsin has the look of a No. 1 seed and the resume to back it up. UConn has arguably the best college player in the event in Shabazz Napier and could easily ride him to a title. That's why there are no givens and plenty of unknowns this weekend:

UConn vs. Florida

What to watch: The point guard matchup, Napier vs. Scottie Wilbekin. We were cheated the last time. We didn't see it through, as Wilbekin got hurt. I would love to see these two go toe-to-toe for the full 40.

Who to watch: DeAndre Daniels. He could be the difference for the Huskies. If he has an Iowa State-like performance in scoring, or even just produces on the backboard the way he did in the first Florida game, then the Huskies have a shot.

Key matchup: Any big vs. Patric Young. The Huskies will need Amida Brimah and Phillip Nolan to share some time banging with Young in the post. They must be effective.

Who wins: Florida 68-66. The Gators will have too much inside for UConn and end the Kemba-like run.

Kentucky vs. Wisconsin

What to watch: How does Kentucky guard the 3-point line? The Badgers can beat Kentucky if the 3s are falling. There are a variety of options for Wisconsin that Kentucky must deal with Saturday.

Who to watch: Julius Randle. The Badgers don't have a real answer for Randle. He could have a dominant performance if he is hungry enough to get fed.

Key matchup: Traevon Jackson against Aaron Harrison. If this matchup occurs, then it will be a test for Jackson. He has handled comparable lead guards, but this one will certainly push him on the grandest stage.

Who wins: Wisconsin 66-61. Frank Kaminsky will prove to be a difficult matchup and will make at least one game-changing 3-pointer.