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Five-star: Felix Jones will have a big day

Five-star question: Will Felix Jones, who has one run of 10 yards or more in 44 carries on the road, match or surpass that total this week in Tampa?

At the beginning of the season, I thought this was the season Felix Jones would breakout and become a true No. 1 running back. It didn’t quite happen, obviously, but now he gets another chance with DeMarco Murray out for the year with a fractured ankle.

Count me in again on Jones, which means he will have at least one 10-yard carry Saturday at Tampa Bay.

The Jones from the New York Giants’ loss looked a little different to me. He had 106 yards on 16 carries and found a blend of patience and urgency that he might have picked up by watching Murray succeed. He won’t bowl tacklers over like Murray, but he can slither around tacklers and make sure he doesn’t get tackled for losses.

Tampa Bay offers the perfect recipe for Jones to succeed. This is not the Warren Sapp, Derrick Brooks, John Lynch defense of years ago. This defense is allowing almost 140 yards a game on the ground. This defense allows 4.6 yards per carry. This defense has allowed 19 rushing touchdowns.

This defense will give Jones a chance to break some long runs … or at least runs of 10 yards.

Jones had four of them against the Giants (three for 11 and one of 26).

There is no doubt he has one Saturday. In fact, I think he’ll match his New York total.