Close, but not quite on Broncos' roster projection

ENGLEWOOD, Colo. -- At times during the offseason we, at ESPN’s NFL Nation, are asked to make roster predictions. These can be dicey affairs given things change quickly and at one point, the Denver Broncos told a player in the final 24 hours before the league deadline to get rosters to 53 players this past weekend that he was going to be released, only to change their minds and keep him on the roster.

And there is the matter of the players you say won’t make it, who do, as I left C.J. Anderson off an offseason roster projection in 2014 after he showed up to OTAs at over 240 pounds. But he returned far lighter for training camp, played better and battled his way back to the No. 3 running back spot to open that season before eventually being the lead back by season's end.

Something he reminds me of almost every other day in the seasons that have followed, including Sunday afternoon after the Broncos finished their first practice after cut day -- in 2016.

But in the interest of full disclosure, in the most recent roster projection -- Aug. 29 -- I was correct on 50 of 53 players who made the Broncos’ initial roster this weekend.

I had running back Juwan Thompson on the roster, guard Robert Myers Jr. and cornerback Taurean Nixon on the 53-player roster. Thompson and Nixon were later signed to the Broncos’ practice squad Sunday.

In those three roster spots, the Broncos signed a third quarterback in Austin Davis, kept center/guard James Ferentz, who had arthroscopic knee surgery in training camp, and defensive tackle Kyle Peko, who had initially been told by the team he was going to waived before the Broncos had a change of heart and kept him as the third nose tackle. As executive vice president of football operations/general manager John Elway put it: "Once we spoke with him, he was very happy."