QB Watch: Colts' Andrew Luck

A weekly analysis of the Indianapolis Colts' quarterback play.

Rewind: Andrew Luck wasn’t flashy against the 49ers, going 18-of-27 for 164 yards and no touchdowns. Luck’s longest pass play was to receiver Reggie Wayne for 25 yards, with 23 of those yards coming after the catch. Sunday was only the fourth time in Luck’s career that he didn’t throw a touchdown pass in a game. The Colts didn’t need Luck’s arm to beat San Francisco. He got a huge assist in the running department from Ahmad Bradshaw and Trent Richardson, as the Colts rushed for 179 yards.

Fast-forward: Luck faces a Jacksonville defense that has given up eight passing touchdowns. The Jaguars, though, are giving up only 203 yards a game through the air. Don’t expect the Jaguars to get much pressure on Luck. They have only six sacks on the season. San Francisco got to Luck just once this past weekend. Luck averaged 270 yards passing in games against Jacksonville last season.

Not on pace: Luck had already passed for 846 yards by the end of Week 3 last season. He’s well below those numbers this season, having passed for 663 yards. Luck’s had two games of fewer than 180 yards passing. You know what? He’ll gladly accept those numbers because the Colts won both games. They lost to Miami when Luck threw for 321 yards. You can also expect Luck’s passing numbers to fall well short of his 4,374 yards last season because the Colts will have a balanced attack with Bradshaw and Richardson pounding away for yards on the ground.

Prediction: Expect another low-passing game from Luck because the Colts should be able to jump on the winless Jaguars early, then let the two-headed monster of Bradshaw and Richardson kill a lot of clock by running the ball.