<
>

Starting pitcher projections for Week 16: July 24 to 30

Jose Berrios is projected for two starts this week, but is he a trustworthy option? Nick Wosika/Icon Sportswire

The Fantasy Baseball Forecaster is updated as of Sunday, July 23, at 10:40 a.m. ET.

Welcome to the new and improved version of the Fantasy Baseball Forecaster! This year, we reorganized the story into four parts; it's the same great intel, but you get right where you need to go as quickly as possible.

Quickly jump to any page


Here's the scheduled starter for each game from July 24-30, including a projected game score for each pitcher in each matchup. A 50 is typically deemed a "quality start" by this measure, while a 70 is considered a dominant start:

Pitching scuttlebutt

Obviously, with the trade deadline coming so soon after the end of Week 16, quite a few rotations are in line for some new faces and new assignments. Take this grid with a huge grain of salt, since pitchers like Sonny Gray are very likely to be on the move at some point prior to Monday.

All signs point to the Minnesota Twins making a deal with the Atlanta Braves for Jaime Garcia, which would certainly alter Minnesota's rotation for Week 16, and likely spell the end of the road for Bartolo Colon's tenure with the club. Aaron Blair is expected to take Garcia's place in the Braves' rotation as soon as the deal is consummated. However, the entire deal could still fall through, as reported by FanRag Sports.

Sam Gaviglio was sent down to the minors by the Seattle Mariners, opening the door for Yovani Gallardo to rejoin the rotation. Barring a complete disaster this Sunday against the Yankees, he should get a chance to start in Week 16.

Michael Pineda will be out for the rest of the season, after a second opinion confirmed he will require Tommy John surgery to repair a torn ulnar collateral ligament. As he's headed to free agency, Pineda will likely be in a new uniform next season, whenever he feels recovered enough from the procedure to actually take the mound. Expect the New York Yankees to make a deal to improve their rotation before the trade deadline.

Aaron Sanchez (blisters -- again) left his July 19 start early following a recurrence of the problem that has already sent him to the disabled list three times this season. Currently, he's hoping that he can make his next scheduled start (and he's slated for a two-start week at present), but if he can't go on Monday, he'll be going on the disabled list yet another time. Be wary!

Dallas Keuchel (DL: neck) is scheduled to throw another rehab start at Double-A Corpus Christi on Saturday before potentially rejoining the Houston Astros' rotation for Week 16, so there's a chance he'll be on the mound at some point in Detroit. Of course, should the Astros deal for a starting pitcher before then, or if the team simply wants to play it safe, he could well make one more minor-league start before coming back.

Jharel Cotton (DL: blisters), Chris Bassitt (DL: Tommy John surgery from last May) and Kendall Graveman (DL: shoulder) are all rehabbing together at Triple-A Nashville, and any or all of the trio could be called up to the Oakland Athletics over the next week or so. Cotton is currently the closest to a return, which is why he's listed as a two-start option for Week 16.

Kyle Hendricks (DL: finger inflammation) will be back on the mound for the Chicago Cubs on Monday, and probably would have pitched sooner if not for the team's acquisition of Jose Quintana, which allowed them to give Hendricks an extra rehab start. Hendricks threw five perfect innings in that outing.

Hyun-Jin Ryu (DL: left foot) is expected to jump into the Dodgers' rotation on Monday after a successful simulated game earlier this week. He's still likely to be in direct competition with Kenta Maeda for a "permanent" role as the No. 5 starter, as it's unlikely the team will want to go six-deep for more than perhaps this time through.

Johnny Cueto (DL: right hand) was placed on the disabled list with blisters on July 15, and Matt Cain jumped right in to fill the opening. For now, we're slotting Cueto to return to his usual spot in the rotation, but perhaps some juggling of the order is incumbent if Cain does well again on Monday.

Things will be a lot clearer for Cleveland's rotation once Corey Kluber (neck) can get back on the hill. While he's not going to pitch on Friday, he may be able to take the mound on Sunday, though that start could be moved back to Monday (hence the TBD). Danny Salazar (DL: right shoulder) is coming back to throw on Saturday of Week 15, and will likely start again on Friday of Week 16.

Scott Feldman (DL: right knee) is not going to be available to pitch for the Cincinnati Reds on Thursday, so they'll have to make do with a fill-in. Robert Stephenson, currently at Triple-A Louisville, would be the most likely candidate on the schedule to pitch that day.

The injury to Tyler Chatwood (DL: right calf) will likely force the Colorado Rockies to roll with Kyle Freeland in his rotation spot for the time being, even though the team had just made the decision to move Freeland to the pen to ease his workload. We'll see if they decide to call someone up for a spot start in order to skip Freeland or move everyone in the rotation back a day.