SEC bowl projections

Posted by ESPN.com's Chris Low

At least one of the bowls that had an arrangement with the SEC won't be getting an SEC team this year. It could be two bowls if Auburn loses this weekend to Alabama.

Alabama and Florida both remain ticketed for BCS bowls barring some strange set of circumstances. If they both win this weekend, their SEC Championship Game matchup on Dec. 6 will be a play-in game for the right to go to the BCS National Championship Game.

All told, eight SEC teams are bowl eligible. In addition to Alabama and Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, LSU, Ole Miss, South Carolina and Vanderbilt are all bound for the postseason.

Arkansas joined Mississippi State and Tennessee last weekend among those SEC teams eliminated from bowl contention. Auburn will be the fourth unless it upsets Alabama this Saturday.

ALABAMA The No. 1-ranked Crimson Tide (11-0, 7-0 SEC) will play in the BCS National Championship Game if they win out against Auburn this Saturday and Florida on Dec. 6 in the SEC Championship Game. If Alabama beats Auburn and then loses to Florida in the SEC Championship Game, you can pencil the Tide into the Sugar Bowl. If the Tide were to lose their next two games against Auburn and Florida, there's a chance they could get left out of a BCS bowl, but the Sugar Bowl is probably going to want an SEC team regardless and would take Alabama over Georgia.
Possibilities: BCS National Championship Game, Sugar Bowl, Capital One Bowl
Prediction: Sugar Bowl

AUBURN The only way the Tigers (5-6, 2-5 SEC) keep their bowl streak alive is by upseting No. 1 Alabama in Tuscaloosa this Saturday. Otherwise, they'll stay at home for the first time since Tommy Tuberville's first season on the Plains in 1999.
Possibilities: Independence Bowl, Papajohns.com Bowl, Music City Bowl, Liberty Bowl
Prediction: None.

The Gators (10-1, 7-1 SEC) have averaged 52.7 points during their seven-game winning streak and dismantled The Citadel 70-19 last weekend. If they win this Saturday at Florida State and against Alabama in the SEC Championship Game, they will get a chance to play for their second national title in the last three years. The only way they wouldn't make a BCS bowl is by losing their next two games, which would put them in the Capital One Bowl.
Possibilities: BCS National Championship Game, Sugar Bowl, Capital One Bowl
Prediction: BCS National Championship Game

GEORGIA The Bulldogs (9-2, 6-2 SEC) can win at least 10 games in a season for the sixth time in eight seasons under Mark Richt if they can defeat Georgia Tech at home this Saturday. They're headed for the Capital One Bowl unless Alabama or Florida loses their next two games and knocks the Bulldogs down a rung.
Possibilities: Capital One Bowl, Outback Bowl
Prediction: Capital One Bowl

KENTUCKY The Wildcats (6-5, 2-5 SEC) are headed to a bowl game for the third straight year for the first time since 1949-51, and it could be the same bowl for the third straight year. The Music City Bowl is a strong possibility. To have any chance of making it to the Chick-fil-A Bowl, Kentucky would need to beat Tennessee this Saturday and hope for an Arkansas upset of LSU.
Possibilities: Music City Bowl, Liberty Bowl, Chick-fil-A Bowl
Prediction: Music City Bowl

The Tigers (7-4, 3-4 SEC) are sinking fast in the bowl pecking order, and it could get even worse if they lose this Friday against Arkansas in Little Rock. They're coming off a 31-13 beating at home to Ole Miss, which probably knocked them out of the Cotton Bowl unless the Rebels are upset by Mississippi State this Friday. If South Carolina loses to Clemson, the Outback Bowl could also be a possibility provided the Tigers beat the Hogs on Friday.
Possibilities: Chick-fil-A Bowl, Cotton Bowl, Music City Bowl
Prediction: Chick-fil-A Bowl

MISSISSIPPI The Rebels (7-4, 4-3 SEC) earned their second huge win of the season with a 31-13 spanking of LSU last weekend and are now likely headed to the Cotton Bowl, which was their destination the last time they went to a bowl game in 2003. The only snag for the Rebels as far as playing in Dallas on New Year's Day would be losing to Mississippi State this Friday.
Possibilities: Cotton Bowl, Chick-fil-A Bowl, Music City Bowl.
Prediction: Cotton Bowl.

The Gamecocks (7-4, 4-4 SEC) can lock up a bid to the Outback Bowl by winning at Clemson this Saturday. But losing to the Tigers could send South Carolina to the Chick-fil-A Bowl, which would not pass on the Gamecocks and a fan base renowned for how well it travels to bowl games.
Possibilities: Outback Bowl, Chick-fil-A Bowl
Prediction: Outback Bowl

VANDERBILT The Commodores (6-5, 4-4 SEC) don't need to worry about gaining bowl eligibility this Saturday against Wake Forest, but they do need to worry about getting back on track and playing the kind of football that will give them a chance in a bowl game. They're coming off a 20-10 loss to Tennessee and have lost five of their last six games. With the Music City Bowl being played in Nashville, look for the Commodores to go elsewhere.
Possibilities: Liberty Bowl, Music City Bowl, Independence Bowl, Papajohns.com Bowl
Prediction: Liberty Bowl