Big Ten bowl projections: Week 13

The Big Ten's big three all won Saturday, so the projected selection order doesn't change.

Is it fair to Michigan State? Absolutely not. But the bowl system never claimed to be fair. The Spartans have a strong case for BCS selection based on what happened between the lines, but these decisions typically are based on outside factors. Maybe the big bowls surprise us this year, but Michigan State almost certainly will be on the outside looking in.

Saturday wasn't good for the Big Ten's other bowl eligible teams, aside from Illinois, which didn't play. Northwestern and Michigan both ended the regular season with back-to-back blowout losses, while Iowa ended on a three-game slide. While Penn State showed more fire in its game against Michigan State, the Lions clearly aren't an elite squad this year.

The most interesting decision rests with the Outback Bowl, which likely will decide between Penn State and Iowa.

Illinois' regular-season finale on Friday at Fresno State could impact things, although I don't think it will.

My projections are exactly the same as they were a week ago:

Rose Bowl: Wisconsin vs. BCS team

Sugar or Orange Bowl: Ohio State vs. BCS team

Capital One Bowl: Michigan State vs. SEC team

Outback Bowl: Penn State vs. SEC team

Gator Bowl: Iowa vs. SEC team

Insight Bowl: Michigan vs. Big 12 team

Texas Bowl: Illinois vs. Big 12 team

TicketCity Bowl: Northwestern vs. Big 12 team

The Big Ten won't fill its slot in the Little Caesars Pizza Bowl. Purdue, Indiana and Minnesota aren't bowl eligible.