Who's going to win? Week 5 Pac-10 picks

Posted by ESPN.com's Ted Miller

Went 4-1 last week -- d'oh! on Oregon's loss to Boise State -- and the record stands at 22-7 for the season.

USC 38, Oregon State 17 (Thursday): Expect some sloppiness early for the Trojans due to a week off but they will pull away in the second half. The Beavers only hope is for the USC sloppiness to continue and for QB Lyle Moevao to make some big plays downfield. If USC allows it to stay close, it will not be the nation's No. 1 team on Sunday.

Oregon 41, Washington State 10: Oregon's quarterback woes won't get much sympathy from Washington State, which has been beset by not only injuries at quarterback but also across an already thin roster. The going figures to be far tougher for new Cougs QB Marshall Lobbestael, a redshirt freshman making his first start, than for Jeremiah Masoli, Darron Thomas and Chris Harper, however Ducks coach Mike Bellotti works the three-man rotation.

Stanford 27, Washington 24: This figures to be a fight. The Huskies are fighting for Tyrone Willingham's job, while the Cardinal is fighting to reach respectability. The difference is Cardinal RB Toby Gerhart will be able to gash a soft Washington defense, while Stanford's D is good enough to keep QB Jake Locker reasonably in check.

Fresno State 28, UCLA 17: UCLA may have some success on offense -- at least relatively speaking -- because Fresno State lost its two starting DTs to injuries. Also, the return of RB Kahlil Bell may help. But Fresno State had a huge advantage at quarterback with Tom Brandstater, an NFL prospect, versus UCLA's Kevin Craft, who is fighting to retain his job.

California 35, Colorado State 20: California should come out fired up and play angry after losing at Maryland two weeks ago. But Cal fans probably have lingering fears, based on the way things went over the second half of last year, that the Bears might not do that. Of course, the Bears might be so eager to put last year's implosion behind them that they do come out and rock the Rams.