ESPN Stats analyzes Braves-Dbacks swap

From ESPN Stats & Information ...

The Atlanta Braves and Arizona Diamondbacks announced a seven-player trade Thursday. Atlanta gets outfielder Justin Upton and third baseman Chris Johnson. Arizona gets infielder Martin Prado, pitcher Randall Delgado, minor-league infielders Nick Ahmed and Brandon Drury and minor-league pitcher Zeke Spruill.

J. Meric/Getty Images

Brothers B.J. and Justin Upton are reunited with the Braves.


From Elias: B.J. and Justin Upton could become only the fourth pair of brothers to play at least 100 games each in the outfield for the same team in the same season. The only brothers to do so were Paul and Lloyd Waner for the Pirates (10 times from 1927 to 1938), Jesus and Matty Alou for the Giants (1965), and Tony and Billy Conigliaro for the Red Sox (1970).

Justin Upton Highest BA by Ballpark

Chase Field .307

Turner Field .293

Petco Park .291

Citi Field .283

<< Minimum 10 games

* The Upton brothers provide a power upgrade over the men they replace in the Atlanta outfield, Martin Prado and Michael Bourn, but besides home runs, the jump isn't substantial.

Justin and B.J. Upton

vs Michael Bourn and Martin Prado Last Season

Uptons, Bourn/Prado

BA .263, .288

HR 45, 19

XBH 106, 103

Slug pct .442, .414

* Justin Upton had a down season in 2012 compared to his 2011 campaign. While his averages were often similar, his power was down.

Justin Upton Last 2 Seasons

2011, 2012

BA .289, .280

OBP .369, .355

HR 31, 17

RBI 88, 67

Highest OPS Among NL Outfielders Since 2008

Ryan Braun .933

Matt Holliday .924

Carlos Beltran .870

Andrew McCutchen .858

Matt Kemp .855

Andre Ethier .844

Justin Upton .842

<< Minimum 500 games


* Justin Upton really struggled against offspeed pitches in 2012. He batted .300 against the fastball, but that average was just .245 against offspeed stuff.

Justin Upton vs Offspeed Pitches in 2012

BA .245

Slug pct .368

OPS .675

K pct 23.2 >>

<< 16.8% vs fastball

* Martin Prado ranked 10th in the NL in WAR last season (5.4), providing more than twice Upton's value (2.1). Prado has accumulated 12.1 wins above replacement since 2010. In that span, Upton has 9.2 wins above replacement.