In a recurring feature of the blog, we play the always fun "Over-Under Game," in which we will set the line for a player and a stat and ask you to weigh in.
Operating under the philosophy that it's never too early to speculate -- in fact, that is precisely when you DO speculate -- and taking advantage of the occasion of Hiroki Kuroda's first spring start as a Yankee, it is time to guess how many wins the new No. 2 starter will earn this season.
The Number: 12 wins
The scouting report: First, some empirical evidence: In four seasons with the Dodgers, Kuroda was 41-46 with a 3.45 ERA. That is an average record of 10-11 with approximately 175 innings pitched per year for a decidedly mediocre offensive team. Now, some crystal-ball gazing: According to ESPN Insider Dan Szymborski of ZiPs projections, Kuroda projects to 12-9 and 4.33 ERA this season, Bill James has him at 11-11, 3.57.
I'm not predicting Kuroda's ERA but I think he should be good for the over, say 14 wins in his first year in pinstripes. What've you got? Let us know below.