O/U: How many wins for Ivan Nova?

In a recurring feature of the blog, we play the always fun "Over-Under Game," in which we will set the line for a player and a stat and ask you to weigh in.

The Number: 13 wins

The Scouting Report: Ivan Nova won 16 games last year and he finished the regular season looking as if he might not lose ever again. Still, Bill James only projects him to go 10-10 this season, while ESPN insider Dan Zsymborski says he will finish 13-10.

The Answer: I'm going the over. I've got Nova winning 15. I think he is the real deal and won't be complacent after last year's success. What say you?