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LuckWatch 2011: An initial look

Stanford quarterback Andrew Luck is the top prize in the 2012 NFL draft. Christian Petersen/Getty Images

The first in an occasional series sizing up five NFL teams' prospects for landing Stanford quarterback Andrew Luck, the consensus projected No. 1 pick in the 2012 draft:

Asking the NFC West guy to handle these duties had to be almost reflexive.

The division commands little respect, despite producing four Super Bowl teams over the past 12 seasons, and winning at least one playoff game for seven years running.

2006-10 Worst of the Worst

Average points for, points against and differential through two games for the last 11 teams to finish with records of 3-13 or worse.

If there's a tendency to focus on the negative, there's been plenty of that around here, too.

Two years after the 1-15 St. Louis Rams emerged with No. 1 overall pick Sam Bradford, early returns place the division-rival Seattle Seahawks on a short list of teams with a shot at Luck.

Seattle has been outscored by 40 points through two games, outpacing two-game averages for the 11 teams since 2006 to finish with fewer than four victories.

Those 11 teams with 3-13 or worse records averaged 12.6 points scored and 28.3 points allowed per game through Week 2. The five 2011 teams singled out here -- Seattle, Indianapolis, Miami, Kansas City and Denver -- have averaged about as many points (13.4) while giving up even more (31.3).

Plenty of time remains for these teams to salvage their seasons. With Luck waiting on the other side, however, there's hope in bottoming out, too.