Dan Graziano's MVP Watch

49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick (No. 2 on the MVP Watch this week) and Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson (No. 3) will square off Sunday night in Seattle. Getty Images

MVPs come from winning teams, from playoff teams at the very least, if not the absolute top teams in the league. So as the MVP Watch unveils its first top 10 since the 2013 season actually began, you won't find anyone on a team that lost its Week 1 game*. That's right. The Watch says no to Aaron Rodgers. He may have as good or a better chance in the end to win the award as anyone on this list, but not if his team doesn't win any games. Same with Matt Ryan. Tough loss, Matty Ice, to a tough team in a tough place. But MVPs win those games, is all the Watch is sayin'.

Unless you're in the AFC North right now, you can't be winless and occupy a playoff spot. Last week's Watch was about forecasting players' odds to win this award, with nothing to go on but past years' performances. This week, the Watch has something on which to base the list. Everybody has played. Going forward, this will be based on 2013 performance as it pertains to the candidates' chances. It may not feel sane to you, but this is the way it's going to be.

So without further ado, the 10 best currently undefeated* candidates for the 2013 NFL MVP award.