Who's going to win? Week 4 Pac-10 picks

Posted by ESPN.com's Ted Miller

Went 7-3 last week -- the reverse of the Pac-10 -- and my overall record thus far is 18-6. But things tend to get harder to figure in conference play, so it's not like I'm cranking up Queen anthems in my office.

Georgia 30, Arizona State 20: Sure, the Bulldogs are making their longest regular-season road trip since 1960. But they are 26-4 on the road under coach Mark Richt and 9-2 when visiting ranked teams. The Sun Devils will challenge the nation's No. 3 team, but won't have the bodies up front on both lines to get it done.

Oregon 33, Boise State 20: Oregon figures to have some offensive ups and downs with first-year players Jeremiah Masoli and Chris Harper stepping in at QB, but the defense should mostly be in control of a rebuilt Broncos offense. Redshirt freshman QB Kellen Moore and four new starters on the offensive line likely won't find Autzen Stadium terribly hospitable.

Arizona 28, UCLA 24: These are two desperate teams after debacles last week. Wildcats coach Mike Stoops is fighting for his job after losing to New Mexico for a second consecutive year, and the Bruins are fighting for pride at home after being humiliated 59-zip at BYU. Arizona has vastly superior firepower on offense, and that will be the difference.

Stanford 24, San Jose State 20: This one will be closer than last year's 37-0 Stanford blowout, but the big question is whether Cardinal coach Jim Harbaugh will wave in freshman QB Andrew Luck to help his sagging offense. The Cardinal should be able to move the ball at home against the Spartans, and the defense also should win the day.

Washington State 38, Portland State 28: An FCS opponent that doesn't run the football -- that's exactly what the struggling Cougars and their nation's-worst run defense need. Back home with the more athletic QB Kevin Lopina running the offense, fans might even see signs of life from the Cougars no-huddle spread attack.