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Predictions: SEC Week 4

Another week and another stellar performance by the young kid in the predictions section.

Fellow SEC blogger Chris Low talked a pretty big game about how he was going to straighten me out after I picked Connecticut to beat Vanderbilt. He made some sort of comment regarding picking a basketball school and something about listening to ACC blogger Heather Dinich. I can’t really remember exactly what he said because I was too busy listening to the wins pile up last week.

After three weeks, I have retaken the lead with a 27-4 (.871) record after going 8-1 last weekend. Chris isn’t far behind at 25-6 (.806), but picking Ole Miss over Vandy and Kentucky over Louisville has him rethinking his strategy this time around.

We both missed on Auburn, but heading into the week we refused to pick against the Tigers until they lost. We knew the winning streak would eventually come to an end.

This week, we have some fun games on tap, starting with Arkansas at Alabama and LSU heading to West Virginia. Maybe Chris can get a couple more right this week because I know I will.

Here are our picks:

SATURDAY

Georgia at Ole Miss

Chris Low: Houston Nutt needs this win in the worst way. Mark Richt needs not to lose this game in the worst way. His Bulldogs will see to that and stay alive in the East race. … Georgia 27, Ole Miss 17

Edward Aschoff: This is a must-win game for both teams, but Georgia needs it more. Actually, Mark Richt needs it more and he’ll get it against a struggling Ole Miss offense, putting the Bulldogs back in the East hunt. … Georgia 31, Ole Miss 14

No. 14 Arkansas at No. 3 Alabama

Chris Low: For the second straight year, this game will come down to the final few possessions. And for the second straight year, Alabama will make enough plays to win. The Crimson Tide have only lost one SEC game at home since Nick Saban’s first season. … Alabama 23, Arkansas 21

Edward Aschoff: This game features Arkansas’ high-powered offense and Alabama’s dominating defense. Naturally, something has to give. The Tide will have the home crowd on its side, and with three new offensive linemen, Arkansas will struggle against Alabama’s pass rush, losing another close one to the Tide. … Alabama 27, Arkansas 23

No. 15 Florida at Kentucky

Chris Low: The last three games in this series have been ugly, as Florida has now won 24 in a row. That streak will grow to 25 on Saturday with Chris Rainey having another big game. … Florida 31, Kentucky 14

Edward Aschoff: Since 2006, the Gators have blocked six Kentucky kicks. How long before Florida blocks another one? Florida’s offenses always play their best against Kentucky, and expect that trend to continue Saturday. … Florida 38, Kentucky 10

Vanderbilt at No. 12 South Carolina

Chris Low: South Carolina knows from experience it better not take Vanderbilt lightly. Of course, with how shaky the Gamecocks have been in the first three weeks, they better not take anyone lightly. Vandy will play well enough defensively to win, but just won’t be able to score enough points against a South Carolina defense that’s still looking for its A-game. … South Carolina 21, Vanderbilt 13

Edward Aschoff: Vanderbilt has looked great on defense this year, capitalizing on tons of its opponents' mistakes, most of which were caused by the Commodores. South Carolina is prone to make those kinds of mistakes. However, having Marcus Lattimore in the backfield will be the difference for the Gamecocks --- again. ... South Carolina 24, Vanderbilt 17

Florida Atlantic at Auburn

Chris Low: Auburn’s defense, or lack thereof, has been hard to watch the first three weeks. The Tigers don’t tackle well nor do they stop anyone. They went back to fundamentals on the defensive side this week in practice and get to take out a little frustration on Florida Atlantic. … Auburn 42, Florida Atlantic 10

Edward Aschoff: We knew Auburn’s defense would struggle, but not like this. The Tigers have let each of their three opponents march up and down the field against them. This week, Auburn’s defense rebounds against the worst offense in the country. ... Auburn 45, Florida Atlantic 17

Louisiana Tech at Mississippi State

Chris Low: Dan Mullen and the Bulldogs didn’t expect to be 1-2 at this point, but the season is not lost. There’s enough talent on this team to still have a big year. The Bulldogs get back on track Saturday with a convincing win. … Mississippi State 35, Louisiana Tech 14

Edward Aschoff: Mississippi State expected better at this point, but a rough rushing defense is a main reason for a 1-2 record. Things should get cleaned up against Louisiana Tech, and the receivers should get more involved as well. ... Mississippi State 48, Louisiana Tech 17

No. 2 LSU at No. 16 West Virginia

Chris Low: There’s no magic formula right now for LSU. The Tigers are doing it with defense, a commitment to running the football and an in-your-face attitude that all the great teams have. This game won’t be easy, but the Tigers have proved that they know how to grind it out away from home. … LSU 24, West Virginia 14

Edward Aschoff: Three teams have tried and failed against LSU’s menacing defense. However, walking out of West Virginia’s home with a win isn’t easy. Expect the Tigers to stick to their running game, pound the Mountaineers’ offensive line and slow that spread attack to remain unbeaten. ... LSU 31, West Virginia 17