HernandezThe American League Cy Young Award will be announced Thursday afternoon, and unlike in the National League -- where Roy Halladay won unanimously -- there is much debate in the Junior Circuit over who should win.
But the award that began in 1994 has been a perfect indicator of the eventual Cy Young Award winner in the American League every year since 1995. The only minor exception to this was in 1998 when Pedro Martinez and Roger Clemens split the Players Association award and Clemens went on to win the Cy Young.
American League xWIN Leaders
If history holds up, Price would be the 16th player in 17 years -- and the 16th consecutive player -- to win both the Outstanding American League Pitcher and the American League Cy Young awards (excluding Martinez in 1998). In the National League, the Players Association Outstanding Pitcher Award has predicted the Cy Young Award winner only nine times in 16 previous years.
But when looking at next-level metrics, we get a different answer.
xWIN is a statistic created by ESPN Stats & Information that measures how many wins a pitcher's team should get based on his combination of innings pitched and earned runs allowed in each start. It eliminates the adverse effect of a having a bad offense on a pitcher's win total.
Superior Starts Leaders
The superior start is another statistic created by ESPN’s Stats & Information designed as an enhanced version of the quality start. For each start, a pitcher is assigned a probability he gave his team of winning based on his innings pitched and earned runs -- the same statistics used to determine a quality start.
A superior start is deemed to be any start in which the pitcher gave his team at least a 75 percent chance to win. King Felix led the league in this stat as well, not to mention the standard statistics of ERA, innings pitched and hits per nine innings.