New Mexico will once again play on its home field in the postseason. The Lobos have played in the Gildan New Mexico Bowl in each of their last four postseason appearances, while Texas San Antonio is playing in its first bowl game. The Roadrunners are one of 11 FBS teams without a bowl victory.
To make matters worse for the Roadrunners, they'll be facing one of the best rushing offenses in the nation. New Mexico has run the ball on 77 percent of its offensive snaps this season (fourth-highest rate in the FBS). The Lobos lead the nation in rushing yards per game, yards per rush, 10-yard rushes and 50-yard rushes.
The Lobos are led by a pair of 1,000-yard rushers in Teriyon Gipson (1,209 yards, 12 touchdowns) and Tyrone Owens (1.084 yards, seven touchdowns). When the Lobos get close to the end zone, look out for Richard McQuarley, who leads the team with 16 rushing touchdowns.
On the other side of the ball, the Lobos will face a UTSA offensive line that has allowed 43 sacks this season, most in Conference USA and fourth-most in the FBS. Even worse, the Roadrunners have given up multiple sacks in 11 of their 12 games this season, the most among bowl teams and tied for most in the FBS.
New Mexico seeks its first nine-win season since 2007. That year, the Lobos coincidentally clinched their ninth win at the New Mexico Bowl. A win Saturday (66 percent FPI chance at victory) will give the Lobos 16 wins since the start of last season, which would match the school record for most wins over a two-season span (1938-39 and 1982-83).