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How sweet is home for Flacco, Ravens?

ESPN Stats & Information

The Ravens’ offensive production this season has been night and day, depending on the location.With their Week 17 victory over the Cincinnati Bengals, the Baltimore Ravens secured at least one playoff game at home.

This was good news for the Ravens because Joe Flacco has performed significantly worse on the road this season, particularly in the second half. The Ravens were also the only AFC team to go undefeated at home, but were just 4-4 on the road.

But just how important is the home field advantage? Let’s take a closer look.

Flacco has struggled away from M&T Bank Stadium when opposing defenses bring five or more pass rushers, posting a 32.7 QBR on the road compared to 62.5 at home.

Texans Defense
5+ Rushers, NFL Ranks

The Houston Texans sent five or more pass rushers 50 percent of the time during the regular season, the second-highest rate in the NFL, and were tied for the league lead with 24 sacks in those situations.

Opposing quarterbacks had trouble handling the extra pressure Wade Phillips sent this season, as the Texans allowed the ninth-lowest Total QBR in the NFL when sending five or more rushers.

When Flacco was able to handle added pressure, the Ravens usually won. In their 12 victories during the regular season (including all eight wins at home), Flacco’s QBR against five or more rushers was 59.9, compared to 9.9 in the Ravens’ four losses (all of which came on the road).

Joe Flacco 2nd Half
This Season

Digging deeper into the numbers, when Joe Flacco played well in the first half during the regular season, the Ravens usually came away with the victory.

In the Ravens’ 12 wins, Flacco posted a 29.5 Total EPA (Expected Points Added) and a 70.0 QBR in the first half. In their four losses, Flacco was much less effective, posting a Total EPA of just -0.9 and a QBR of 30.4.

Flacco’s improved performance in victories allowed offensive coordinator Cam Cameron to lean on the Ravens’ elite running game in the second half. Baltimore averaged 18 rushes in the second half of wins compared to four attempts in losses.

The Ravens have made the playoffs every year since drafting Flacco, but have not played a postseason game at home over that span. Flacco will have his hands full with the Texans’ tenacious defense, but if the regular season is any indicator, the Ravens’ home field advantage gives them the edge.