Here are the projections for Sunday's Sprint Cup race at New Hampshire. Our projection system takes into account, among other factors, drivers’ past performances at the current track, pre-race on-track activity (practices and qualifying) and probability of finishing the race. All of the data is then adjusted for the track type (in this case, a 1.058-mile oval) and time of year.
Gaining on History
Hendrick teammates Jeff Gordon and Jimmie Johnson are each chasing milestones this weekend. Gordon is looking to join Hall of Famers Richard Petty and David Pearson as the only drivers to reach 90 wins, and Johnson is seeking his 70th Cup Series win – a mark only seven drivers in series history have reached.
The duo should be near the front on Sunday, as Gordon looked strong in practice this week (finishing third, third and second) and Johnson is a three-time winner at New Hampshire.
Johnson’s career average finish at Loudon trails only Denny Hamlin among drivers with at least five starts
Spread the Wealth
There have been 12 different winners in the last 12 New Hampshire races, a streak that dates back to 2008. That’s one shy of the Cup Series record for the longest streak without a repeat winner at a track, set at Texas Motor Speedway from 1998 to 2007.
King for a Day
Last week at Daytona, Aric Almirola avoided 16- and 26-car wrecks to become the first Cuban-American to win a Sprint Cup Series race. Almirola snapped a 545-race winless streak in the No. 43 car that Richard Petty made famous.