Over/under: Wins for Padres

The over/under on the San Diego Padres is 70.5 or 71 wins.

Is that too low?

The Padres won 71 games in 2011, but they were only outscored by 18 runs. Certainly, they struggled to score, ranking 15th in the NL in runs scored (ahead of only the Giants) and ranking last with just 91 home runs. Some of that is PetCo Park-induced, but looking to improve their offense, the Padres traded staff ace Mat Latos to the Reds for prospects Yonder Alonso, Yasmani Grandal and Brad Boxberger and starter Edinson Volquez. Alonso should step in as the team's starting first baseman while Volquez replaces Latos in the rotation.

Pitcher Aaron Harang signed with the Dodgers but Carlos Quentin was brought in to hopefully provide some power for the outfield. Reliever Andrew Cashner, acquired from the Cubs for Anthony Rizzo, was hitting 102 mph in his first spring training outing.

So what's your take? Will Cory Luebke become the staff ace? Will the Padres score enough runs to reach .500? Or is 71 wins right on target?