Reviewing my gut feelings and guesses

NASHVILLE, Tenn. -- The first version of the Tennessee Titans’ 53-man roster is hardly filled with surprises.

There was some mystery about what sort of numbers they’d keep at some position groups.

But there were only three shocking moves: center-guard Fernando Velasco getting cut, linebacker Tim Shaw getting cut and returner Marc Mariani getting put on season-ending IR.

When I sat down Friday, with the roster already at 75, to write a post predicting the roster, I cut Shaw but kept Velasco and Mariani. Mariani, who’s also a receiver, losing the return job to running back Darius Reynaud has a bearing on the number of receivers and running backs the team wound up with. At every other position, we shaped the roster correctly in terms of how many.

Velasco wound up out, with Chris Spencer sticking as the second interior offensive line backup. Spencer got a $65,000 signing bonus and is scheduled for an $840,000 base salary this season. Velasco didn’t take long to sign his restricted free-agent tender of $2.023 million, which was not guaranteed before he played in a game, as I initially thought it was.

Fifty-one of 53 was better than I figured I could do. But if you follow a team closely, it provides a largely accurate depth chart and it doesn’t pull a bunch of major surprises, you should be able to provide a largely accurate prediction.

Feel free to remember I did when I butcher it next year.