John Hollinger (Insider) on the idea of Carmelo Anthony to the Nets: "It's pretty much unprecedented for an elite player to force his way off an elite team and onto a lottery squad." Anthony is being advised by William Wesley and Leon Rose, to whom owners are seen as crucial long-term partners, as we discussed last summer. Any move to the Nets would be a move to partner with a deep-pocketed owner in Mikhail Prokhorov, and a Brooklyn market that is bursting with potential.
Nuggets' blogger Jeremy from Roundball Mining Company does some reasoned analysis and concludes: "This trade needs to be completed and it needs to happen now. The Nuggets cannot continue to drag this out, for the sake of the teams they are negotiating with, for their own sake and for the sake of the fans. As much as it pains me to say it, Sunday’s loss should be the last game Carmelo suits up as a Nugget." Tom Ziller, meanwhile, says the Nuggets are "staring at the gift horse's tonsils."
The East got just about all of the big 2010 free agents, but the West is still winning the head-to-head matchups. Kevin Pelton writes on ESPN Insider: "The West's dominance in inter-conference matchups (113-91 record, .553 winning percentage) has in fact grown from last season (246-204, .547), keeping with the history of Western superiority that dates back to the 1999-00 season."
The Mavericks, Lakers, Celtics, Suns, Spurs, Heat, Pistons, Magic, Cavaliers and Nuggets. Those are the ten oldest teams in the NBA, in terms of who actually gets minutes, according to this cool little Hoopisms graphic. If you're a contender, being in this list is just fine. If you're the Suns, Pistons, Cavaliers or even Nuggets, though ... that's a wake-up call. Also, David Berri and Martin Schmidt's book was emphatic that NBA coaches play players who are too old, at the expense of more productive youngsters. But their metric ignores individual defensive prowess, which seems like a whopper of a thing to ignore -- especially as most of the NBA's oldest teams are destroying the league.
This is not about the NBA, but it is about what you're doing right now -- sharing and consuming information online. The defining question of the web, says Paul Ford, is "why wasn't I consulted?" Hard to argue he's wrong. Fascinating stuff. (Thanks to Kevin Arnovitz for the heads up.)
Tim Donaghy's home life also involves lots of arguing just like his work life.
Even Andray Blatche's hair is a riddle, and he says it's the tale of his life. If he ever gets a crew cut, trade for that supertalented, high-potental big man. In the meantime, he's a guy who loses focus, with an unfocused haircut to go with it.
Stephen Jackson, are you upset that your coach, Larry Brown, was fired? Hardly. The Associated Press quotes Jackson: "When you make a change like that it has the domino effect of getting everybody up and loving the game. It's definitely worked so far."
If you want to make basketball's Hall of Fame, the best thing to do is to play in the late 1950s or early 1960s. So, you know, practice your jump shot and your time travel.
Some team will sign Greg Oden this summer. A high-risk, high-reward young center might make a lot of sense for the Heat.
Quickish is up, running and pretty cool.
Where's the help defense? How much easier is LeBron James' job because people are scared to try to stop that freight train at the rim?
Timofey Mozgov says LeBron James' secret is his outrageous calm. I love those two words together.
Forecasting is a tricky business. People who get the extreme cases right, research shows, are the most exciting forecasters. But also people who are wrong a ton. Joe Keohane on Boston.com: "Why do we put so much stock in expert forecasters? In a saner world than ours, those who listen to forecasters would take into account all their incorrect predictions before making a judgment. But real life doesn’t work that way. The reason is known in lab parlance as 'base rate neglect.' And what it means, essentially, is that when we try to predict what’s next, or determine whether to believe a prediction, we often rely too heavily on information close at hand (a recent correct prediction, a new piece of data, a hunch) and ignore the 'base rate' (the overall percentage of blown calls and failures)." (Via ESPN commentary on Twitter)
How to beat a zone. Part of it is ball movement. Another part is: Have the entire defense freak out when LeBron James touches the ball.
Kevin Garnett does not blog in English. But in Chinese ...
Somebody has to pay Johan Petro's salary this season. Here's one way the Pistons could do that.