Some interesting things about the 2008 TrueHoop Stat Geek Smackdown:
Everyone except my mom and Kevin Pelton has picked the Celtics in the Eastern Conference Finals. Reigning champion Justin Kubatko picked them in five.
With the Spurs' win last night, the game is officially on. Stephen Ilardi and Justin Kubatko are tied at the top. If the Hornets had won, Kubatko would have had a big lead.
Jeff Ma is well out of first, but he is a veteran gambler -- the movie 21 is based on his life -- and he says he has a hail mary scheme that just might work out. Consider yourselves warned.
How about Stephen Ilardi before the Hornets vs. Spurs: "Based on simple team regressions alone, it should be Hornets in seven, since New Orleans has been about +0.8 points per game better this year, and has the home court advantage for this series. But San Antonio has improved considerably in the post-season from an adjusted plus-minus standpoint, mostly by giving Kurt Thomas (+3.49) more minutes than Fabricio Oberto (-5.57), and by dramatically reducing the playing time of Jacque Vaughn (-5.45) and Damon Stoudamire (-7.21). I have the Spurs roughly four points per game better than the Hornets based on postseason playing time distribution, just enough to offset the +3.6 points per game home court advantage."