It's Not Just The Economy, Stupid: 8/3/20
After the release of historically bad GDP data, the crew discusses how well economic data can predict the outcome of an election. They also discuss the potential consequences of President Trump casting doubt on the legitimacy of the 2020 election.
A GOP Congressman Who Might Not Vote For Trump: 7/30/20
Rep. Will Hurd of Texass 23rd Congressional District joins the podcast. He is one of only four Republicans in the House still representing a district that Hillary Clinton won in 2016 and he is the only Black Republican in the chamber. He is also retiring at the end of his current term. As he says on the podcast, he is not yet sure whether he will vote for President Trump this fall.
Biden's VP Pick Could Be Days Away: 7/27/20
According to the timeframe Biden laid out, he could announce his choice for a running mate as soon as the end of this week. The crew discusses the upsides and downsides of his various choices.
The U.S. Still Isn't Prepared For A Pandemic Election: 7/23/20
In March, it became clear that states needed to reconfigure in-person voting and significantly scale up mail voting so that Americans could vote during a pandemic. Since then, weve seen postponed elections, consolidated polling places, long lines, mail ballots that never reached voters, and long delays in counting those ballots. Will the U.S. be ready in November?
There Aren't Secret Trump Voters: 7/20/20
A recent poll showed that the majority of Pennsylvanians think that people in their community secretly support Trump. The crew explains why that is unlikely. They also consider the future of Black politics as politicians from the Civil Rights Era -- like Rep. John Lewis -- leave office.
White Democrats Are Wary Of Big Ideas To Address Racial Inequality: 7/16/20
In recent weeks, public opinion has moved significantly in favor of Black Lives Matter and more people have taken the view that Black people face discrimination in America. But is there public support for policies that could address that discrimination? FiveThirtyEight's Perry Bacon Jr. and political science professor Meredith Conroy discuss what the polls can tell us.
COVID-19 Deaths Are Rising. What Will The U.S. Do?: 7/13/20
The crew discusses whether Americans and politicians are in agreement on how to respond to the recent surge in coronavirus cases. The also interrogate a lesson that some Democrats took away from the 2016 election -- that the party should focus less on "identity politics."
Conservatives Didnt Get The SCOTUS They Wanted This Term: 7/9/20
FiveThirtyEight legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux joins Galen Druke to look back at a U.S. Supreme Court term full of consequential cases. They also unpack one the final rulings of the term, which permits prosecutors to subpoena the president's financial records.
How Trump Could Improve His Electoral Odds: 7/6/20
The crew considers various strategies that President Trump and Republicans could use to improve their electoral prospects this fall -- ranging from a new running mate to a vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court.
How The GOP Chose To Be A White Party: 7/2/20
FiveThirtyEight's Clare Malone discusses the history of how the GOP became an overwhelmingly white party. Her article on the topic is titled, "The Republican Choice: How a party spent decades making itself white."
Biden Is Currently Competitive In Georgia And Texas: 6/29/20
The crew looks at new polling that shows the clearest picture so far of the presidential race in battleground states. It isn't good for Trump.
New Voter Registrations Have Nosedived During COVID-19: 6/25/20
FiveThirtyEight's Nathaniel Rakich and Kaleigh Rogers analyze data showing that the number of people registering to vote has fallen off a cliff during the coronavirus pandemic
Progressives Challenge The Democratic Establishment: 6/22/20
The crew looks at the dynamic between Democratic upstarts and the establishment as primary voters head to the polls in New York and Kentucky.
Model Talk: Biden Leads Trump By 9 Nationally: 6/18/20
In this edition of Model Talk, Nate and Galen discuss FiveThirtyEight's newly published presidential election polling averages.
Views Of BLM Have Shifted. What Happens Next?: 6/15/20
The crew discusses the ways that public opinion on racism has changed during the past three weeks and ask how it will affect our politics.
The Protests Appear To Be Working: 6/12/20
New York Times writer Mara Gay and FiveThirtyEight contributor Shom Mazumder join the podcast to discuss the efficacy of the anti-police violence protests so far.
Americans Don't Like How Trump Is Handling Multiple Crises: 6/8/20
The podcast crew looks at President Trump's latest polling for handling the pandemic and mass protests. They also discuss why young voters aren't enthusiastic about Biden.
Protests, Then And Now: 6/4/20
Prof. Yohuru Williams joins Perry Bacon Jr. and Galen Druke to discuss how today's anti-police violence protests compare with past protest movements.
The Data Behind Police Violence: 6/1/20
Sam Sinyangwe joins the podcast to discuss police violence data and the politics of the protests that have spread across the country.
What Biden's VP Picks Say About Him: 5/28/20
Perry Bacon Jr. and Julia Azari join the podcast to discuss the process of choosing a VP and what that choice says about the candidate and the party.
Questions About Biden And Trump's Bases: 5/26/20
The crew discusses a gaffe Biden made during a conversation about black voters and debates the findings of a new study about white working class voters in the 2016 election.
One Virus, A World Full Of Responses: 5/21/20
The COVID-19 pandemic has shown how many countries, with different political systems, handle a very similar crisis -- and how the public reacts.
Does Trump Really Want A Fight With Obama?: 5/18/20
The crew looks at evidence that the coronavirus response has grown more partisan. They also discuss the rationale for an election year conflict between Obama and Trump.
Why COVID-19 Conspiracy Theories Are Spreading: 5/14/20
Political scientist Joe Uscinski joins the podcast to discuss the spread of COVID-19 conspiracy theories -- why they've formed and what can be done about them.
Americans, Not Politicians, Will Decide How We Reopen: 5/11/20
The podcast crew discusses the politics and practicalities of states reopening amid the COVID-19 pandemic. They also consider which party is ahead in the race for the Senate.
What The 14.7% Unemployment Rate Means: 5/8/20
Former Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Erica Groshen joins the podcast to discuss the latest jobs report, which showed a record unemployment level.
Biden Responds To Sexual Assault Allegation: 5/4/20
The team discusses the politics of Tara Reade's accusations of sexual assault against Biden and Biden's denial. They also weigh the impact of a Justin Amash run for president.
The U.S. Is Starting To Reopen. Is It Ready?: 4/30/20
States around the country are beginning to reopen. Professor Crystal Watson of the Johns Hopkins School of Public Health discusses the systems they should have in place.
Is COVID-19 Already Hurting Trump Politically?: 4/27/20
The crew analyzes recent data showing Trump losing ground in swing states. They also ask how much reactions to the pandemic have been based on partisanship.
Model Talk: Forecasting The Toll Of COVID-19: 4/22/20
Dr. Chris Murray, creator of the frequently cited IHME COVID-19 model, joins a special edition of Model Talk.
What Is Motivating The COVID-19 Protests?: 4/20/20
The crew discusses why protests against COVID-19 mitigation measures have popped up around the country. They also weigh the pros and cons of Biden's potential VP picks.
How To Hold An Election During A Crisis: 4/16/20
What has the United States done to ensure elections continue during past crises and what can the country do now to ensure this fall's election goes smoothly?
Our 2020 Election Priors: 4/13/20
Now that Democrats have settled on Joe Biden, the crew discusses their priors for the presidential general election. They also track where we are in the COVID-19 pandemic.
Emergency Podcast: Sanders Drops Out: 4/8/20
The crew reacts to Sen. Bernie Sanders's decision to suspend his campaign for president.
Wisconsin's Election Is A Mess: 4/6/20
The crew digs into the challenges facing Wisconsin's election, given partisanship and the COVID-19 pandemic. They also take stock of where we are in the arc of the crisis.
Why It's So Hard To Forecast The Impact Of COVID-19: 4/2/20
FiveThirtyEight's science writer Maggie Koerth and quantitative editor Laura Bronner join the podcast to discuss the challenges of modeling the impact of COVID-19.
Why Trump's Approval Rating Has Increased: 3/30/20
The crew discusses where we are in the arc of the COVID-19 crisis, how Americans are rating the president's performance, and the significance of the DPA.
COVID-19 Broke The Jobless Claims Chart: 3/26/20
Economics reporter Ben Casselman joins Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux to discuss the stunning unemployment claims numbers from last week.
How COVID-19 Is -- And Isn't -- Changing Politics: 3/23/20
The crew discusses how the COVID-19 pandemic is affecting the politics of Washington, D.C. and how it's disrupting the 2020 presidential race.
How COVID-19 Is Changing The Economy: 3/20/20
Economist Tara Sinclair joins Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux to discuss the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic so far.
How COVID-19 Affected Tuesday's Vote: 3/18/20
FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.
Coronavirus, Uncertainty, Politics: 3/16/20
The crew discusses the coronavirus crisis and the uncertainty and politics surrounding it.
Biden And Sanders Debate Amid Pandemic: 3/15/20
The crew reacts to the first Biden vs. Sanders one-on-one debate, which took place amid the coronavirus pandemic.
The Democratic Primary Is No Longer Competitive: 3/10/20
The crew reacts to the latest round of Democratic primary results, in which Biden far outperformed Sanders.
Is Even Coronavirus Partisan?: 3/9/20
The crew discusses the results of a poll on coronavirus and previews the upcoming primary races.
Emergency Podcast: Warren Drops Out: 3/5/20
The crew reacts to the news that Sen. Elizabeth Warren is suspending her campaign for president.
Biden Won Super Tuesday. What Now?: 3/3/20
The crew reacts to Joe Biden's very strong performance on Super Tuesday and asks what comes next.
What's At Stake On Super Tuesday: 3/2/20
The crew previews the races that will be decided on Super Tuesday and debates the effect Buttigieg's dropout will have.
Biden Wins Big In South Carolina: 2/29/20
The crew reacts to Biden's big win in South Carolina and discusses what comes next in what looks to be a two person race.
How Rep. James Clyburn Settled On Endorsing Biden: 2/26/20
Rep. James Clyburn endorsed Joe Biden on Wednesday. Galen Druke sat down with Clyburn ahead of his endorsement to discuss Biden, South Carolina and the Democratic Party.
What Went Down In The South Carolina Debate: 2/25/20
The crew reacts to a messy Democratic debate in South Carolina.
Sanders Wins Big In Nevada: 2/23/20
Nate Silver and editor of the Nevada Independent, Jon Ralston, join the podcast from Las Vegas to discuss the results of the Nevada caucuses.
Bloomberg Stumbles In Chaotic Debate: 2/19/20
In a late night edition of the podcast, the crew reacts to the Nevada Democratic primary debate.
Can Bloomberg Win?!: 2/18/20
The crew discusses Michael Bloomberg's chances of winning the nomination. They also debate whether Bernie Sanders has a lock on the Nevada caucuses.
Model Talk: The Chance Of Chaos Increases: 2/14/20
Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss how the Democratic primary forecast has updated since the New Hampshire primary.
Bernie Sanders Wins New Hampshire: 2/11/20
The crew reacts to the results of the New Hampshire primary, including a Sanders win, a close second for Buttigieg and a surprise third place finish for Klobuchar.
Live From Manchester: A New Hampshire Preview: 2/10/20
At a live show in Manchester, the crew previews the New Hampshire primary, debates the likelihood of a contested convention and plays a game!
Live From The New Hampshire Debate: 2/7/20
The crew reacts to the Democratic primary debate in New Hampshire, from the spin room.
The Results In Iowa: 2/5/20
The crew discusses the results -- so far -- from the Iowa caucuses. They also check in on the race in New Hampshire and the vote to acquit President Trump.
Model Talk: What To Expect From The Iowa Caucuses: 2/2/20
Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the latest polling in the final day before the Iowa caucuses.
Stacey Abrams Thinks She'll Be President By 2040: 1/30/20
As part of our When Women Run series, Clare Malone sat down with Stacey Abrams, former candidate for governor of Georgia.
When Women Run: 1/29/20
To better understand what it's really like to run for office as a woman, we spoke to women from every state who have done it -- 97 women in all. These are their stories.
The Sanders Surge: 1/27/20
The crew assesses Bernie Sanders's improvement in the polls a week before the Iowa caucuses. They also discuss reporting from John Bolton's new book.
The Primaries Project: There's Gotta Be A Better System...Right?: 1/23/20
This is the third installment of our audio documentary series "The Primaries Project," looking at how our primary system came to be and its effect on American politics.
How Senators Are Calculating Impeachment Politics: 1/22/20
FiveThirtyEight's Perry Bacon Jr. and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join Galen Druke to discuss the political considerations at play in President Trump's impeachment trial.
Live From DC: America's Favorite Sandwich: 1/20/20
In front of a live audience in DC, the crew debates the electoral cases of the leading Democratic candidates. The also discuss electability and guess what America thinks.
The Primaries Project: The Effects Of Reform: 1/15/20
This is the second installment of our audio documentary series "The Primaries Project," looking at how our primary system came to be and its effect on American politics.
The Last Pre-Iowa Debate: 1/15/20
The crew reacts to the candidates' performances in the last Democratic primary debate before the Iowa caucuses.
A Four-Way Pileup In Iowa: 1/13/20
The crew discusses the latest polling in Iowa, showing a tight four-way race. They also talk about Booker's decision to dropout and Tom Steyer's polling in NV and SC.
Model Talk: The Primary Forecast Is Live: 1/10/20
FiveThirtyEight's 2020 Democratic primary forecast is live. In a new installment of "Model Talk" Nate Silver discusses what went into creating it.
The Primaries Project: How 1968 Changed Everything: 1/8/20
This is the first installment of our audio documentary series "The Primaries Project," looking at how our primary system came to be and its effect on American history.
How The Iran Conflict Could Affect 2020: 1/6/20
The team discusses the political implication's of President Trump's decision to kill Iran's Maj. Gen. Qassem Suleimani in a drone strike.
The Biggest Political Moments Of 2019: 12/30/19
The podcast crew looks back at the biggest political moments of 2019 and looks ahead to the most pressing questions of 2020.
Eggnog And Listener Questions: 12/23/19
In this holiday installment of the podcast, the crew drinks eggnog and answers questions from listeners.
The House Impeaches President Trump: 12/18/19
President Donald Trump became the third president in American history to be impeached on Thursday. The podcast team discusses how we got here and what comes next.
Do Voters' Second Choices Matter?: 12/16/19
The crew previews what to expect from this week's likely impeachment vote and debate how much voters' second choices matter in the Democratic primary.
Conservatives Win Big In The UK Election: 12/13/19
University of Cambridge political scientists Helen Thompson and David Runciman join the podcast to break down the results of the 2019 British general election.
The Primary According To The Early States: 12/9/19
The crew shares a preview of FiveThirtyEight's polling averages in the early states. They also discuss the path Trump's presidency is on.
The Legal Experts And The Polls: 12/4/19
We review the House testimony from legal scholars on whether Trump committed an impeachable offense and check out the results of our polling collaboration with Ipsos.
Emergency Podcast: Harris Drops Out: 12/3/19
The crew reacts to Sen. Kamala Harris's decision to drop out of the Democratic primary.
Is The Party Deciding?: 12/2/19
The crew looks at which candidates are racking up endorsements and whether there's a meaningful trend in favor of Biden. They also take stock of Harris's troubles on the trail
A Very FiveThirtyEight Thanksgiving: 11/25/19
The crew discusses public opinion on impeachment and plays a Thanksgiving-inspired game.
What Went Down In The 5th Democratic Debate: 11/20/19
In a late night podcast, the crew reacts to the fifth Democratic primary debate.
Impeachment Hearings Day 4: Sondland Testifies: 11/20/19
The crew reacts to U.S. Ambassador to the E.U. Gordon Sondland's testimony in the fourth day of public impeachment hearings.
Impeachment Hearings Day 3: The Phone Call: 11/19/19
The crew discusses what went down during the third day of public impeachment hearings.
The Buttigieg Bump 2.0: 11/18/19
The crew discusses the latest polling out of Iowa, showing a shakeup in the race there. They also ask why education levels are such a key factor in how people vote.
Yovanovich Testifies, Trump Attacks: 11/15/19
The crew reacts to the second day of public impeachment hearings.
Public Impeachment Hearings Begin: 11/13/19
The crew reacts to the first of many public impeachment hearings on President Trump's attempt to pressure Ukraine to investigate a political rival.
The FiveThirtyNATE Podcast: 11/11/19
The New York Times's Nate Cohn joins the podcast to discuss battleground state polling, the Electoral College and the state of the Democratic primary.
What The 2019 Election Results Mean: 11/6/19
FiveThirtyEight election analysts Nathaniel Rakich and Geoffrey Skelley break down the results of the 2019 elections.
Free-For-All In Iowa: 11/4/19
The crew previews the key elections on the ballot this Election Day and debates the role healthcare is playing in Sen. Elizabeth Warren's plateauing in national polls.
Exit Interview: Tim Ryan: 10/31/19
Rep. Tim Ryan exited the presidential race last week. We ask him to be candid about his experience in an "exit interview."
What Should Republicans Do?: 10/28/19
The crew debates the savviest political strategy for Senate Republicans on the issue of impeachment. They also discuss the death of al-Baghdadi and disagreement in the polls.
The Taylor Testimony: 10/23/19
The crew discusses the significance of U.S. envoy to Ukraine William Taylor's testimony. He claimed Trump made military aid contingent on politically-motivated investigations.
Medicare For Fall: 10/21/19
The podcast crew discusses the politics of Medicare for All in the Democratic primary. They also look at the latest impeachment polling.
What To Look For In The 4th Debate: 10/14/19
The crew discusses the latest impeachment polling and previews the fourth Democratic primary debate.
Impeachment 101: 10/10/19
Law professor Kate Shaw joins the podcast to discuss the laws and history behind impeachment and how they apply to today.
Is Ukraine Getting Worse For Trump?: 10/7/19
The podcast crew reviews the latest news in the impeachment inquiry and discusses the two parties' strategies. They also ask if Joe Biden is the Democratic frontrunner.
How TV's Evolution Explains Our Politics: 10/3/19
New York Times TV critic James Poniewozik joins the podcast to explain how changes in television over the past forty years have shaped American politics.
Impeachment Is Becoming More Popular: 9/30/19
The crew looks at how public opinion on impeaching President Trump has changed in the week since Speaker Pelosi announced a formal inquiry.
The Whistleblower's Complaint: 9/26/19
It's only been 48 hours since we last recorded, but a lot has happened. We discuss the release of Trump's Ukraine call summary, the whistleblower's complaint and more.
What An Impeachment Inquiry Might Mean: 9/24/19
The crew gathers to discuss Nancy Pelosi's decision to launch an impeachment inquiry against President Trump. How'd we get here, and what might come next?
Are Democrats Ready To Impeach Trump?: 9/23/19
The crew discusses how the Ukraine story could change the impeachment conversation for Democrats. They also debate whether Elizabeth Warren is now the frontrunner in Iowa.
We Ran Into Andrew Yang At The Airport: 9/19/19
Nate and Galen ran into Andrew Yang waiting for the same return flight from the debate in Houston last week. They asked if he'd record a podcast and he obliged.
The State Of *Both* 2020 Primaries: 9/16/19
The crew discusses the latest post-debate polling and what the GOP primary is teaching us about Trump's electoral strengths and weaknesses.
What Went Down In The Third Democratic Debate: 9/12/19
The crew reacts to the third Democratic primary debate from the spin room floor in Houston, Texas.
How To Own The Debate: 9/9/19
The crew discusses possible strategies for the candidates on stage in the Democratic primary debate on Thursday.
The Gerrymandering Fight Moves To The States: 9/5/19
A North Carolina court panel threw out the state's legislative maps as a partisan gerrymander this week. Nancy Martorano Miller and Dave Wasserman discuss the implications.
And Then There Were Ten: 9/3/19
The crew discusses the dynamic of the third Democratic primary debate, in which ten candidates will face off on a single night. They also ask: good use or bad use of polling?
A Constitutional Crisis In Britain?: 8/29/19
Helen Thompson and David Runciman join the podcast to discuss Boris Johnson's suspension of parliament and the politics of Brexit.
The Winnowing Begins: 8/26/19
The crew takes a look at who has dropped out of the Democratic primary and why. They also assess the political risk of a hypothetical downturn in the economy.
The 2019 Elections: 8/22/19
FiveThirtyEight elections analysts Nathaniel Rakich and Geoffrey Skelley join the podcast to discuss the races on the ballot in 2019 and the current national environment.
Elizabeth Warren's Comeback: 8/19/19
The crew discusses how Elizabeth Warren gained ground after polling fifth or sixth nationally a handful of months ago. They also ask what's changed since the El Paso shooting.
Trump's Trade War Puts His Biggest Asset At Risk: 8/14/19
International economist Mary Lovely joins the podcast to discuss the effects of President Trump's trade war with China.
How Much Does Iowa Matter?: 8/12/19
Following a weekend during which the 2020 candidates flooded Iowa, the crew debates the significance of the first-in-the-nation caucus state.
"The Best Pollster In Politics": 8/7/19
Ann Selzer, who conducts the "Iowa Poll" and has an A+ rating in FiveThirtyEights pollster rankings, talks about the challenges of polling Iowa in 2020.
Can Trump's Words Incite Violence?: 8/5/19
The podcast team discusses the weekend's mass shootings and the relationship between political rhetoric and violence.
Live From Detroit: The State Of The Race Post-Debates: 8/1/19
The crew discusses the debates and the state of the 2020 Democratic primary race in downtown Detroit.
Democrats Battle It Out: 7/30/19
The left and moderate flanks of the Democratic Party debated big ideas in the second primary debate. Nate and Galen react from downtown Detroit.
Are Democrats Moving Too Far Left?: 7/29/19
The crew debates the risks for 2020 Democrats of taking unpopular positions on issues like healthcare and immigration. The also discuss Democrats' next steps on impeachment.
Mueller Talks: 7/24/19
After months of back-and-forth with Democrats, former special counsel Robert Mueller testified before the U.S. House Judiciary and Intelligence committees on Wednesday.
Racial Resentment As A Political Strategy: 7/22/19
The podcast crew discusses the role that racial resentment played in the 2016 and 2018 elections and debates whether Trump could use it to his advantage in 2020.
Who's Going To Win Pennsylvania In 2020?: 7/18/19
The podcast heads to Pennsylvania to discuss the state's political trends and what they mean for 2020.
Trump's Racist Tweets: 7/15/19
The podcast team discusses Trump's tweets appearing to target a group of congresswomen of color. They also debate the odds of a Democrat winning a Senate seat in Kentucky.
Exit Interview: Eric Swalwell: 7/11/19
Rep. Eric Swalwell exited the presidential race this week. We ask him to be candid about his experience in an "exit interview."
Is Biden Still The Front-Runner?: 7/8/19
The podcast crew debates whether Joe Biden is still the front-runner in the Democratic primary race. They also discuss Rep. Justin Amash's decision to leave the GOP.
The Verdict On The Debates: 7/1/19
The podcast crew digs into data about how voters reacted to the first debates. They also discuss the new sexual assault accusation against President Trump.
Harris Wins Narrative. We'll See About The Voters.: 6/27/19
The crew reacts to night two of the first Democratic primary debates.
What Went Down At The First Democratic Debate: 6/26/19
The podcast team reacts to night one of the first Democratic primary debates.
Lanes Emerge In The Democratic Primary: 6/24/19
The crew re-assesses the significance of "lanes" in the Democratic primary and looks at Trump's Iran strategy.
What's At Stake In The Final Week Of SCOTUS Decisions: 6/21/19
Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux joins the podcast to discuss key decisions the Supreme Court has made so far, and what is at stake in the final 12 cases.
Who Is Persuadable In 2020?: 6/17/19
As Trump kicks off his reelection campaign, the crew debates who is persuadable in 2020. They also discuss the Democratic primary debate lineups.
A Republican Strategist's Guide To 2020: 6/13/19
Republican strategist and pollster Bill McInturff joins the podcast to discuss his report, "What Republicans Need to Know as We Move Toward the 2020 Election."
Is Elizabeth Warren Surging?: 6/10/19
The crew examines whether the popular narrative of Elizabeth Warren's breakthrough is reflected in the data. They also discuss why Joe Biden backtracked on the Hyde Amendment.
The D.C. Statehood Episode: 6/6/19
Representative Eleanor Holmes Norton and Majority Leader Steny Hoyer join the podcast to discuss Democrats' efforts to make D.C. the nation's 51st state.
Are Voters Sexist?: 6/3/19
The crew discusses what we know about how voters respond to female candidates and how the women running for president in 2020 are navigating questions about their identity.
Are Nationalist Victories Around The World Connected?: 5/31/19
University of Cambridge professors Helen Thompson and David Runciman join the podcast to discuss what appear to be a string of similar outcomes in elections around the world.
Is Pelosi's Trump Strategy Working?: 5/28/19
The crew discusses whether last week's back-and-forth between Pelosi and Trump achieved its reported goal. They also look at head-to-head polling in the Democratic primary.
What We Can Learn From Tracking Trump's Falsehoods: 5/23/19
The Washington Post has been tracking every false or misleading claim Trump has made while in office. In this episode, we dig into the database.
Have Americans Changed Their Minds On Abortion?: 5/20/19
The politics team examines Bill de Blasio's theory of the case, the rationale behind seemingly conflicting numbers on abortion and ask if Democrats can win the Senate in 2020.
Why Some States Are Passing New Abortion Restrictions: 5/16/19
Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey signed the most restrictive abortion law in recent U.S. history into law on Wednesday. It's part of a larger trend of changing state level abortion law.
The Politics Of Impeaching Trump: 5/13/19
The crew debates the possible political repercussions for Democrats of moving to impeach Trump. They also look at how some on the left have tried to discredit a CNN poll.
Live From Houston: What Happened To The Bush GOP?: 5/9/19
In a live taping from Houston, Texas, the crew discusses how and why the GOP has changed from the party of Bush to the party of Trump. They also play a 2020 primary draft.
Live From Austin: Will Texas Be A Battleground In 2020?: 5/6/19
The crew is in Austin, Texas, where they debate whether the Lone Star State will be a battleground in 2020. They also play a heated round of trivia.
Mueller's Letter To Barr: 5/1/19
Special Counsel Mueller wrote AG Barr a letter expressing concerns about how hed characterized the reports findings to Congress. The podcast crew reacts.
Peto Buttichar 2020: 4/29/19
The crew discusses the Democratic Party's reaction to Joe Biden entering the presidential race. They also ask why Sanders and Warren don't have more crossover support.
How Joe Biden Could Win: 4/25/19
Former Vice President Joe Biden announced his candidacy for president on Thursday. The crew discusses the reasons he could win the nomination or come up short.
We Have The Mueller Report. Now What?: 4/22/19
The crew discusses how the various players are positioning themselves now that the Mueller report is public. Plus, the Democratic primary field expanded again.
Emergency Podcast: The Mueller Report: 4/18/19
The podcast team reacts to the release of the redacted Mueller report.
The State Of The Democratic Primary: 4/15/19
As the first quarter of 2019 comes to a close, the crew gives an assessment of state of the 2020 Democratic primary.
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts?: 4/11/19
Our "Model Talk" series returns briefly to discuss the performance of FiveThirtyEight's forecast models over the past decade. We crunched the numbers and the results are in!
Do Democrats Want An Outsider In 2020?: 4/8/19
The crew debates the appeal of a political outsider for Democrats in 2020. They also look at the class divide among white voters how that affects their political behavior.
The Electoral College Episode: 4/4/19
Julia Azari and Seth Masket join the podcast to discuss the arguments for and against the Electoral College and how likely it is to actually change.
What Will Biden Do?: 4/1/19
Joe Biden has been accused of inappropriately touching a former legislator at a campaign event. Will that change his calculus about whether to get in the race?
Can Statistics Solve Gerrymandering?: 3/28/19
Mathematician Moon Duchin joins Nate Silver and Galen Druke to discuss a method for spotting partisan gerrymandering that the Supreme Court considered Tuesday.
Life After The Mueller Report: 3/25/19
The crew reacts to the principal findings of the Mueller report, according to Attorney General Bill Barr.
Emergency Podcast: Mueller Has Filed His Report: 3/22/19
In this emergency podcast, Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux joins Galen Druke to discuss what comes next now that Special Counsel Mueller has filed his report.
Live From NY: It's A 2020 Draft!: 3/21/19
In a live taping of the podcast, the crew competes in a draft of the 2020 primary candidates. They also play "Good Use of Polling or Bad Use of Polling?"
Ranking 2020 Rollouts: 3/18/19
The crew takes stock of which candidates have done the best job introducing themselves in the early months of the primary.
The Moment Of Truth For Brexit: 3/15/19
David Runciman and Helen Thompson from the British "Talking Politics" podcast discuss the week in Brexit and what comes next.
How Beto O'Rourke Could Win: 3/14/19
Former El Paso congressman Beto O'Rourke is running for president. The crew discusses how he could win -- or lose -- the Democratic primary.
How Divided Are Democrats?: 3/11/19
The podcast crew analyzes the divisions within the Democratic Party and makes sense of why potential 2020 candidates like Sherrod Brown decided not to run.
Iowa And New Hampshire Can Go To Hell: 3/7/19
Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada. Why do those four states vote first and does the lineup make sense?
Should We Cancel The Electoral College?: 3/4/19
The podcast crew discusses the latest candidate announcements, whether party endorsements matter, and the merits of the Electoral College.
What We Learned From Cohen's Testimony: 2/27/19
The podcast team reacts to a day of testimony from President Trump's former lawyer Michael Cohen.
Our Best (Or Worst) Show: 2/25/19
The podcast crew discusses absentee ballot fraud in North Carolina and the threat of a primary challenge to Trump. They also play a round of "Guess What Americans Think."
All The President's Investigations: 2/22/19
The word is that Mueller will wrap up his investigation next week. Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux shares an overview of the legal troubles that will continue to follow the president.
How Bernie Sanders Could Win: 2/19/19
Sen. Bernie Sanders is running for president. The team describes both his path to success and failure in the primary. They also follow up on Trump's emergency declaration.
National Emergency Podcast: 2/14/19
The crew reacts to the news that President Trump plans to declare a national emergency at the southern border. Vox's Dara Lind also joins to discuss the border security deal.
How Amy Klobuchar Could Win: 2/11/19
The crew discusses the arguments for and against Sen. Amy Klobuchar winning the Democratic nomination. They also assess the politics of the Green New Deal.
The Mess In Virginia: 2/7/19
Democratic politics in Virginia are in upheaval. The team reacts to the scandals facing each of the top three Democrats in the state -- the governor, lt. governor and AG.
The Politics Of Taxing The Rich: 2/4/19
Some Democrats are floating new taxes on the super rich. The crew discusses the politics of those proposals. They also assess Cory Booker's path to the nomination.
The Perot Effect: 2/2/19
What effect do third party candidates have in a two party system? This is an audio documentary about Ross Perot and the 1992 election that originally aired in October 2016.
Do Americans Want A Candidate Like Howard Schultz?: 1/31/19
In light of Howard Schultz's possible presidential run as a "centrist independent," the crew discusses the appetite for such a candidate among Americans.
Shutdown Lessons (And 2020 Announcements): 1/28/19
The crew discusses the political repercussions of the government shutdown and considers two Democratic presidential contenders -- Pete Buttigieg and Tulsi Gabbard.
What To Make Of Roger Stone's Indictment: 1/25/19
In this installment of Mueller Talk, Amelia Thomson-Deveaux discusses the implications of longtime Trump adviser Roger Stone's indictment.
How Kamala Harris Could Win: 1/22/19
The crew analyzes what Harris's path to the nomination could look like. They also react to Mueller's statement on the Buzzfeed report and discuss the role of the young left.
Emergency Podcast: The Suborn Identity: 1/18/19
In this emergency installment, the crew reacts to a Buzzfeed News report that President Trump directed his lawyer, Michael Cohen, to lie to Congress.
How Kirsten Gillibrand Could Win: 1/16/19
New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand is the latest in the Democratic field to make official moves toward running for president. The crew discusses her case for the nomination. Note: At 17:40, Nate Silver's audio may be a bit unclear. He says, "It's not that logical because, number one, a lot of Democrats are concerned about senators who allegedly grope people."
How Julian Castro Could Win: 1/14/19
The crew discusses what Julian Castro's path to the Democratic nomination could look like. They also lay out a rubric for evaluating candidate strengths and talk shutdown.
Will Trump Face A Primary Challenge?: 1/10/19
Is Trump in danger of a serious challenge for the Republican nomination in 2020? Perry Bacon Jr. and Julia Azari join the podcast to discuss.
How Elizabeth Warren Could Win: 1/7/19
The crew discusses the paths to Elizabeth Warren winning -- and losing -- the 2020 Democratic nomination. They also look at the political repercussions of the shutdown.
The Gerrymandering Project: Arizona: 12/31/18
In 2018, more states decided to put independent commissions in charge of redistricting. Arizona serves as an example of some of the challenges those commissions can face.
Our 2018 Politics Awards: 12/24/18
The crew looks back on the year in politics and gives out made up awards. They also share resolutions for 2019.
Emergency Podcast: Mattis Is Out, Shutdown Is On (?): 12/21/18
In an emergency episode of the podcast, the crew discusses Defense Secretary Jim Mattis's departure and the looming government shutdown.
Should Democrats Play Dirty?: 12/17/18
Democrats backed off a plan that would gerrymander New Jersey, while Republicans went ahead with a power grab in Wisconsin. The crew discusses why the parties play differently
The Brexit Episode: 12/13/18
Two political science professors from the University of Cambridge join the podcast to explain what happened in Britain this week and what comes next.
Trump's Turbulent Week: 12/10/18
President Trump is continuing to face possible legal trouble over campaign finance violations, meanwhile the White House is in the middle of another staffing shakeup.
Something Is Fishy In North Carolina: 12/3/18
The crew reflects on how politics have changed since President H. W. Bush's time in office. They also speak with Prof. Michael Bitzer about possible election fraud in NC-09.
Emergency Podcast: Cohen Is Cooperating With Mueller: 11/29/18
In an emergency installment, the crew reacts to news that Michael Cohen pleaded guilty for lying to Congress about the details of a potential Trump project in Moscow.
This Is Mueller Talk!: 11/29/18
After months of silence, the Mueller investigation is making news again. Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux joins the podcast to make sense of a big week of revelations.
Can A Democrat Win In Mississippi?: 11/26/18
The final Senate election of 2018 is scheduled for Tuesday in Mississippi. The crew discusses the fault lines at play of race, geography and class.
Will Pelosi Be Replaced?: 11/19/18
The Democrats have a majority in the House, now they need a Speaker. The crew discusses whether Nancy Pelosi will be re-elected and what the vote says about the party.
How Our Model Did: 11/15/18
In this post-mortem episode of "Model Talk," Nate discusses how our forecasts did and how we can improve them going forward.
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