Precocious New York Mets rookie first baseman Pete Alonso homered twice on Tuesday and became the first player to deliver 11 extra-base hits in his first 10 career games. It is quite the achievement, and Alonso looks like a top-10 first baseman. Milwaukee Brewers first baseman Jesus Aguilar, however, has come to the plate 44 times, and he still boasts nary an extra-base hit. A season after Aguilar roped 35 home runs among his 60 extra-base hits, securing top-10 status, would fantasy managers take the rookie, with 10 games of big league experience, over Aguilar? I am guessing most would.
As you might have guessed, if you know my work, I would not. This is not to say we should gloss over Aguilar sputtering to a .111 batting average after his 10 games, or what Alonso has done, but past performance does matter. I believe Aguilar will be fine, and if he had a stretch like this in June, nobody would notice. Below are players who enter Wednesday looking for their maiden extra-base hits of the young season, like Aguilar, and in order of their plate appearances. What, me worry? In a few cases, perhaps we should. With Aguilar, sorry, but he is drawing walks. He is not striking out anywhere near the degree of the leaders, and I will buy low, if that is actually possible.