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Projecting team offense production for the second half of the season

The Miami Marlins have actually outscored the big bats of the New York Yankees since the beginning of June, but they rank dead last in baseball in projected runs scored per game the rest of the way. Michael Reaves/Getty Images

With the bulk of the All-Star rosters having been announced (Final Vote winners and replacements due to injury or Sunday starts notwithstanding), much of the fantasy content this week is typically focused on a look back. Certainly, there's a lot of value in analyzing the selections and snubs from a fantasy perspective, especially where it denotes differences in perception as to what exactly determines "value" in the game.

However, I'd like to take a forward-based look at perception, at least in terms of expected offensive production from lineups based on the rest-of-season projections, rather than simply regurgitating what each team has done thus far. After all, unless you've got a time machine, none of the stats any player has already accumulated will suddenly materialize in your team's totals.

Fantasy managers often make decisions based upon the matchups, especially when it comes to selecting a starting pitcher to stream. Given the choice between two options of relatively equal and unremarkable skill on the waiver wire, it makes sense to pick the guy who is going to be facing the Kansas City Royals instead of the one challenged with keeping the Boston Red Sox off the scoreboard.

But those perceptions of "good offenses" and "bad offenses" are often formed early in the season and linger for a long time. If I asked you whether you'd rather face the New York Yankees or the Miami Marlins, few of you would opt for the team from the Bronx, yet it is the Fish who have scored more runs as a team since June 1.

That said, I wouldn't predict that trend to continue the rest of the season. But it is still crucial to base your going-forward assessments on something more than the designations you gave these lineups after only 30 or 60 days of play.

To that end, here's a list of all 30 teams, ranked in the projected order of runs scored from today forward, based upon the very same statistical projections used to create the top-300 rankings lists. Note which teams appear headed for a second-half slump and which teams may be ready to shake off their first-half slumbers, and adjust your matchup expectations accordingly.