Daily notes: Pitcher and hitter rankings for Wednesday

Jake Bauers has a strong matchup Wednesday against Jakob Junis of the Royals. Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

On Wednesday's docket, two American League clubs lose a designated hitter for interleague play. Will the Halos allow Shohei Ohtani to play the field, even though he's trying to prove he can pitch again this season? Also, how will the already-thinning Yankees lineup do at Marlins Park?

The Cubs, fortunately, add a DH at Detroit, which will come into play for match-ups later in the article.

In fact, let's stick in the National League for our trio of streamers.


Pitchers to stream

Freddy Peralta (R), rostered in 29.5 percent of ESPN leagues, Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: Peralta has endured a rough second half with a 7.20 ERA and a 6.48 BB/9, but his 11.4 K/9 on the season keeps him in streamer discussions. Catching the basement-dwelling Reds with offensive centerpiece Joey Votto on the DL enhances Peralta's already-alluring ceiling for this tilt.

Zach Eflin (R), 48.3 percent, Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals: Matching up with the returning Stephen Strasburg, Eflin still has a chance for a win. Stras may not be in top shape, and Washington is in a free fall, trading Daniel Murphy to the Cubs and Matt Adams to the Cardinals on Tuesday. Eflin's 5.02 ERA in five post-break outings hides a 24:9 K:BB and the fact he's tossed a quality start in two of his past three assignments.

Trevor Richards (R), 6.6 percent, Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: It's late August, so I'm continuing to introduce more against-the-grain opportunities. As mentioned above, the Bombers lose the DH, and Didi Gregorius might have to join Aaron Judge and Gary Sanchez on the sideline. Richards, meanwhile, stumbled last week, but he had compiled a 1.53 ERA, 32 strikeouts and nine walks in the five starts before that. His pitcher-friendly home park could push him over the top against this weakened lineup.

Pitchers to avoid

Carlos Carrasco (R), 98.9 percent, Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox: This category becomes less used as the season wears on, but even star hurlers will get a warning when they face the BoSox. Of course, with Brian Johnson toeing the rubber for Boston, it may just wind up as an ugly win for Cookie, and that'll be enough of a reward.

A stronger "run away" comes with ...

Carlos Rodon (L), 60.3 percent, Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: The Twins don't seem to miss Brian Dozier, as they're tied for the third-most homers (26) in August, led recently by a rejuvenated Miguel Sano (three homers in seven contests). Rodon's brilliant season so far hides a disconcerting dip in K/9 (7.2), and he's probably due for a correction of his 2.69 ERA in 12 starts.


The Rays are likely going with Yonny Chirinos as their "follower" to chew up most of the frames left behind by the opener. It's a fine time to try plucking a win on an abbreviated outing, of course, with the 38-87 Royals stepping into the batter's box.

Projected game scores



Mitch Garver (R), 3.3 percent, Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox (LHP Carlos Rodon): Garver has quietly contributed in many deeper leagues thanks to a bump in hard contact, which built on already-intriguing power and a useful 9.2 percent walk rate.

First base

Jake Bauers (L), 21.8 percent, Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals (RHP Jakob Junis): Junis has allowed a .351 wOBA to left-handed sticks and 26 homers overall -- tied for the third-most in the bigs -- fueled by a 1.77 HR/9 against RHBs. Sounds good to Bauers, who has connected for seven of his nine big flies when facing righties.

Second base

Jonathan Villar (B), 13.7 percent, Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays (LHP Thomas Pannone): Villar's trade to the Orioles has gifted him nearly regular playing time and jolted his bat (.270/.343/.444 with three homers, nine RBIs and two stolen bases). Pannone has a smidge of long-term promise but has allowed 1.8 HR/9 across three minor-league stops this season.

Third base

Johan Camargo (B), 37.1 percent, Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates (RHP Trevor Williams): Camargo's sneaky-serviceable .340 wOBA against righty pitching is just a part of his quietly useful season (.271/.352/.451). Williams continues to find a way to balance his 3.53 ERA and 6.0 K/9, but the Braves could be in store for a big day if Williams' lack of deception comes back to bite him.


Freddy Galvis (B), 5.9 percent, San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies (RHP Jon Gray): He's rattled off a 2.83 ERA since the All-Star break, yet Gray has coughed up a 1.43 HR/9 vs. LHB this season. Galvis, who has already launched five homers in August, should enjoy the Coors Field boost.

Corner infield

Yandy Diaz (R), 1.4 percent, Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox (LHP Brian Johnson): For someone with Diaz's strength and sizzling exit velocity, it's a surprise that he hasn't hit a home run in 96 career at-bats (hint: launch angle). Still, he's getting an extended run as DH with Edwin Encarnacion (biceps) sidelined, and if that lasts until Wednesday, Diaz can build on his .341 career wOBA versus southpaws.

Middle infield

David Bote (R), 4.2 percent, Chicago Cubs at Detroit Tigers (LHP Francisco Liriano): In an admittedly small sample size of 40 plate appearances, the 25-year-old has 45.8 percent hard contact against southpaws, per FanGraphs. The Cubs are slumping, but here's a cure: Liriano has been tattooed with the second-highest wOBA (.371) by righty bats among qualified starters this season.


David Dahl (L), 9.4 percent, Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres (RHP Jacob Nix): Despite his up-and-down season, Dahl has scorched righty pitching (.326/.393/.589, five of his six homers) and has rattled off a .279/.367/.488 line with two homers, six RBIs and three stolen bases across 49 plate appearances since being recalled Aug. 5. Nix gets his first career taste of Coors Field.

Teoscar Hernandez (R), 23.4 percent, Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (RHP David Hess): Of all pitchers with at least 60 innings pitched, Hess holds the highest HR/9 (2.08) in the majors (fun fact: teammate Dylan Bundy is second at 2.05). The batted-ball darling Hernandez -- he ranks fifth in Barrels per Plate Appearance with 10.2 percent -- doesn't have drastic splits and will continue his extended tryout for the club playing out the string. If Hernandez is already rostered elsewhere, Curtis Granderson (3.1 percent) and his 11 homers, .782 OPS and .339 wOBA against righties will do.

Jon Jay (L), 13 percent, Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Angels (RHP Odrisamer Despaigne): Steven Souza Jr. probably will ride the pine against a righty, leaving Jay with a platoon advantage (.287/.332/.393 this season). Despaigne has been saddled with a 6.29 ERA in 2018 and a .340 wOBA against lefty hitters in his career.

Hitter matchup ratings

Hitter ratings account for the opposing starting pitcher's history (three years' worth), as well as ballpark factors. "LH" and "RH" ratings account only for left- and right-handed batters, respectively.

Weighted on-base average (wOBA) is the primary statistic used in the calculation. Ratings range from 1 to 10, with 10 representing the best possible matchup, statistically speaking, and 1 representing the worst. For example, a 10 is a must-start rating, while a 1 should be avoided (if possible); a 1-2 is poor, 3-4 is fair, 5-6 is average, 7-8 is very good and 9-10 is excellent.