College Basketball Bubble Watch

Updated: March 7, 2007, 2:15 PM ET
By Andy Glockner |

Butler's loss busts someone else's bubble

After getting almost every possible break in the first four days of Championship Week, Bubble Nation took a big hit Tuesday night when Butler lost at Wright State in the Horizon League final. That means the Bulldogs now will be in the at-large pool and will take away a bid from someone in the tables below.

In addition to the Raiders, congrats are in order to North Texas (the Sun Belt champ) and Oral Roberts (which won the Mid-Con behind its pair of 2,000-point scorers, Caleb Green and Ken Tutt).

The bubble picture will start its final-stage clarification process today when the Big East kicks off action in New York City. After a couple of calm days, the picture will start changing very significantly from day to day as teams play their way in and out.

Here's the updated look at the bubble. Make sure to check out the bubble scoreboard each day for all the important games on one page.

* -- Auto bid winner included.
The Bubble Breakdown
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC 6 1 6
Big East 6 1 6
Big Ten 3 1 3
Big 12 3 1 3
Pac-10 5 1 5
SEC 4 0 3
MVC 2* 0 1
MWC 2 1 2
Other Locks 1 -- 1
TOTAL 32 6 30

Also, Xavier from the A-10 looks very good for an at-large, if needed.

As it stands, it appears there are now only four at-larges left for those teams in the "work to do" pool, and that assumes that teams such as Memphis, Xavier and Nevada don't lose in their conference tournaments.

If I had to size up the pool of teams in the best position to grab those bids, it would be (in no order yet, as we'll wait for some of the major-conference action to unfold to make things less fluid):

Florida State, Illinois, Purdue, Kansas State, West Virginia, Old Dominion, Drexel and Missouri State.

The last three, as they already have finished play, will have very long waits and need to see how things develop elsewhere. ODU vs. Drexel could become the philosophical bubble debate of the year if it comes down to one slot.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: March 8)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.